CoveredSports
Prediction desk
Player prop picks
Every player prop we rate against a posted DraftKings number, with the projection, the recent baseline and the graded result once the box score lands. Search a player, or filter by league, stat, model rating and result.
Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns
SF · QB · projection 2.5 · recent average 2.5 over 10 games · high model rating · DraftKings -184 · locked Sep 16, 8:18 PM EDT · finished with 2
Matthew Stafford under 2.5 passing touchdowns
LAR · QB · projection 2 · recent average 2 over 10 games · high model rating · DraftKings -221 · locked Sep 16, 8:08 PM EDT
No longer qualifies at the current line. The official pick stays tracked and graded at under 2.5. Not used in new parlays or new social posts. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.
Bo Nix under 1.5 passing touchdowns
DEN · QB · projection 1.3 · recent average 1.3 over 10 games · medium model rating · DraftKings -125 · locked Sep 16, 7:18 PM EDT · finished with 1
Trevor Lawrence over 1.5 passing touchdowns
JAX · QB · projection 2.5 · recent average 2.5 over 10 games · high model rating · DraftKings +114 · locked Sep 16, 7:18 PM EDT · finished with 0
Carson Wentz over 1.5 passing touchdowns
MIN · QB · projection 1.6 · recent average 1.6 over 5 games · low model rating · DraftKings +133 · locked Sep 16, 9:18 PM EDT · finished with 0
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns
KC · QB · projection 1.8 · recent average 1.8 over 10 games · medium model rating · DraftKings -106 · locked Sep 16, 8:07 PM EDT · finished with 3
Bryce Young over 1.5 passing touchdowns
CAR · QB · projection 1.6 · recent average 1.6 over 10 games · low model rating · DraftKings +117 · locked Sep 17, 11:18 AM EDT · finished with 3
Joe Burrow over 1.5 passing touchdowns
CIN · QB · projection 2.1 · recent average 2.1 over 8 games · high model rating · DraftKings -121 · locked Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · finished with 2
C.J. Stroud under 1.5 passing touchdowns
HOU · QB · projection 1.4 · recent average 1.4 over 10 games · low model rating · DraftKings -125 · locked Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · finished with 0
Lamar Jackson under 1.5 passing touchdowns
BAL · QB · projection 1.2 · recent average 1.2 over 10 games · medium model rating · DraftKings -106 · locked Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · finished with 1
Jordan Love over 1.5 passing touchdowns
GB · QB · projection 1.7 · recent average 1.7 over 9 games · medium model rating · DraftKings -104 · finished with 2
Jalen Hurts under 1.5 passing touchdowns
PHI · QB · projection 1.3 · recent average 1.3 over 9 games · medium model rating · DraftKings -152 · finished with 3
Trevor Lawrence over 1.5 passing touchdowns
JAX · QB · projection 2.4 · recent average 2.4 over 10 games · high model rating · DraftKings -107 · finished with 4
Joe Burrow over 2 passing touchdowns
CIN · QB · projection 2.5 · recent average 2.5 over 6 games · high model rating · DraftKings -216 · finished with 1
Caleb Williams over 1.5 passing touchdowns
CHI · QB · projection 1.7 · recent average 1.7 over 10 games · medium model rating · DraftKings +100 · finished with 2
Matthew Stafford over 1.5 passing touchdowns
LAR · QB · projection 2.4 · recent average 2.4 over 10 games · high model rating · DraftKings -154 · finished with 0