Covered Select Record

Covered Select is our top game pick tier — team/game recommendations only, never player props. A pick can only join it before kickoff, on the exact DraftKings line and price we had already locked, and only when the league's active model produced it. Selections are stamped and stored permanently, so nothing is ever chosen after the fact and no settled pick is ever re-labelled. Pushes and voids are reported separately and never count as losses.

The selector uses a versioned, league- and market-aware rule set (policy select-team-1.1) built on our model's edge against the posted number, the price we locked and the quality of the data behind it. It is not a calibrated win probability, and we do not present it as one. The broader all-high-rated cohort is tracked separately and those numbers are unchanged by this tier.

Selections on record: 2026-09-08 — 2026-09-19.

Covered Select

Game picks only. Player props and parlays are never included.

12–8
Record: 60%
Select rate: 20
Sample: 0
Pending: 0/2
Push / void: -126
Avg locked price: +0.80u
Return on 1 unit per pick

Covered Select breakdowns

The same game selections, split by league. Pushes and voids are listed but never enter a hit rate, and a rate appears only once a selection has won or lost.

By league

Covered Select game picks per league.

Sort

Name	W–L	Hit rate	Settled	Pending	Push / void
MLBBaseball	12–6	66.7%	18	0	0 / 2
WNBABasketball	0–2	0%	2	0	0 / 0

All high-rated — the broader tracking cohort

This is the wider high-rated cohort: every pick the model leaned on strongly, graded against the exact DraftKings spread locked before kickoff, wins and misses alike. It is kept for transparency and comparison — Covered Select is our top recommendation tier, and this cohort is broader than it. Medium and low model projections stay browsable but are kept out of the public record. Pushes and voids are reported separately and never count as losses. Records refresh on our hourly sync, so a just-finished game may take up to an hour to appear.

Each pick carries a model rating (high, medium, low). Only high-rated picks count here; medium and low picks stay visible as model projections only and never affect any record, rate or sample size. Only the picks designated Covered Select before kickoff are called recommendations; the numbers on this page are unchanged by that distinction. Ratings describe how strongly the model leaned; they are not statistically calibrated probabilities yet. Parlay results live on their own page and are never mixed in here.

78–61

Against the spread

56.1%

Cover rate

61.3%

Player prop cover rate

Leagues graded

Teams backed