Post-game analysisNFLSunday, September 20, 2026Final

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 20, 2026

The pick

Take Seattle Seahawks -4.5

Seattle Seahawks is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 4.5 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: medium

The betting line

SEA -3.5

Sportsbooks make Seattle Seahawks the favorite by 3.5. Expected combined score: 40.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 4:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

Seattle Seahawks logo Seattle Seahawks24

Arizona Cardinals logo Arizona Cardinals17

Final score

Seattle Seahawks logo Seattle Seahawks31

Arizona Cardinals logo Arizona Cardinals7

Pick covered

FOX — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 20, 2026

Preview: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals projection

Seattle Seahawks visit Arizona Cardinals in NFL on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Our projection reads SEA 24 – ARI 17, a 7-point edge to Seattle Seahawks. DraftKings has ARI +4.5 with a total of 41.5.

This is week 2 of the 2026 regular season. 1 completed week of this regular season are blended with last season's results, adjusted for opponent quality and home field, across 288 regular-season games. Preseason games are excluded entirely, and the DraftKings number posted before kickoff carries 65% of the projection because our own sample is rated moderate.

The pre-kickoff availability record was 100% complete and is reflected in the projection. Our published pick is Seattle Seahawks -4.5 at the draftkings number recorded 2026-09-15T23:07:34+00:00, rated medium by cs-nfl-2026.09.2, our preseason-free model, which is still being measured game by game against our published record. That locked number and this projection are what the result is graded against; neither is ever rewritten.

How the model got here

Projected 24–17 away–home (week 2), leaning away against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 65% weight on the market. Rating: medium. [nflprov]

Full-game total

DraftKings last quoted 40.5 — Over -115 / Under -105.

Low

Our projected combined score is 41 · Over win probability 51.3%.

This is a model projection for context, not a recommendation. Only a high-rated total becomes a tracked pick.

No full-game total recommendation was published on this game. the projection was not made by the league's active public version.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Michael Wilson over 38.5 receiving yards-115DraftKings line 38.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:18 PM EDT · result loss
Michael Wilson over 3.5 receptions-122DraftKings line 3.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:18 PM EDT · result loss
Marvin Harrison Jr. over 34.5 receiving yards-109DraftKings line 34.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:18 PM EDT · result loss
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 81.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings line 81.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:18 PM EDT · result win
Tory Horton — Anytime touchdown: Yes+900DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 12:18 PM EDT · result pending

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 6.5 receptions
SEA · WR
We project 7.4Recent average 7.4 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -103
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 8 receptions over 1 game this season and 7.1 across 16 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 6.5 (-103), and our model projects 7.4 — 0.9 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 9 receptions
Michael Wilson over 38.5 receiving yards
ARI · WR
We project 63Recent average 63 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -115
Michael Wilson has averaged 56 receiving yards over 1 game this season and 66 across 15 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 38.5 (-115), and our model projects 63 — 25 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Michael Wilson 18 receiving yards
Michael Wilson over 3.5 receptions
ARI · WR
We project 5Recent average 5 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -122
Michael Wilson has averaged 5 receptions over 1 game this season and 5.1 across 15 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 3.5 (-122), and our model projects 5 — 1.5 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Michael Wilson 2 receptions
Marvin Harrison Jr. over 34.5 receiving yards
ARI · WR
We project 47Recent average 47 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -109
Marvin Harrison Jr. has averaged 33 receiving yards over 1 game this season and 54 across 10 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 34.5 (-109), and our model projects 47 — 13 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Marvin Harrison Jr. 0 receiving yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 81.5 receiving yards
SEA · WR
We project 111Recent average 111 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -110
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 122 receiving yards over 1 game this season and 106 across 16 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 81.5 (-110), and our model projects 111 — 29 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 155 receiving yards
Tory Horton — Anytime touchdown: Yes
SEA · WR
We project 0.67Recent average 0.5 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +900
Tory Horton scored in 3 of 6 games last season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 10% in the DraftKings price (+900), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.