PreviewNFLSunday, November 8, 2026Sun, 1:00 PM EST

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

Game preview · Sunday, November 8, 2026

The pick

Take Detroit Lions -7

Detroit Lions is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 7 points.

Pick locked in: Oct 28, 2026 · 11:24 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: medium

Current market

Current market check pending

The official pick stays tracked and graded at its locked number. A fresh read has not been computed yet.

Official pick: -7 · locked Oct 28, 2026 · 11:24 PM EDT
Latest DraftKings: -6.5 · Nov 8, 2026 · 1:07 AM EST

Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.

The betting line

DET -6.5

Sportsbooks make Detroit Lions the favorite by 6.5. Expected combined score: 49.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 1:07 AM EST

Our projected score

Detroit Lions logo Detroit Lions28

Miami Dolphins logo Miami Dolphins19

Kickoff

Sun, 1:00 PM EST

Fox — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Nov 8, 2026

Preview: Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

The Detroit Lions head south to face the Miami Dolphins in Week 9 action this Sunday. The market has held steady, with the current DraftKings line sitting at Detroit -7 alongside a 47.5-point total, matching the tracked spread of -7 we took when lines were established.

Our statistical model forecasts a 28–19 victory for Detroit, pointing to a nine-point margin of victory for the road team. That output generates a modest edge against the tracked seven-point line. The projection incorporates regular-season efficiency metrics while applying a 50% weight to prevailing market numbers, deliberately excluding preseason data to isolate standard form.

Because the model projects Detroit to cover the key number of seven by two full points, the system assigns a medium rating to Detroit -7. As with any statistical projection, this is an analytical lean rather than a certainty, but the numbers suggest Detroit has a favorable profile to cover the spread away from home.

Get an updated prediction

Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.

Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.

Side

Spread for DET

For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.

American odds

Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.

How the model got here

Projected 28–19 away–home (week 9), leaning away against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 50% weight on the market. Rating: medium. [nflprov]

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Sam LaPorta — Anytime touchdown: Yes+175DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 2, 8:18 AM EST · result pending
Amon-Ra St. Brown — Anytime touchdown: Yes-120DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 2, 8:18 AM EST · result pending

Each number and price is the DraftKings figure recorded before kickoff and never changed afterwards. Times are Eastern.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Ollie Gordon II — Anytime touchdown: Yes
MIA · RB
We project 0.51Recent average 0.51 over 16 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +130
Ollie Gordon II scored in 2 of 3 games this season and in 3 of 13 games last season (0.51 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 51% chance to score, against 43% in the DraftKings price (+130), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Malik Willis — Anytime touchdown: Yes
MIA · QB
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +290
Malik Willis scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 26% in the DraftKings price (+290), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Jameson Williams — Anytime touchdown: Yes
DET · WR
We project 0.71Recent average 0.46 over 16 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +150
Jameson Williams scored in 1 of 2 games this season and in 6 of 14 games last season (0.71 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 46% chance to score, against 40% in the DraftKings price (+150), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Caleb Douglas over 38.5 receiving yards
MIA · WR
We project 60Recent average 60 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -110
Caleb Douglas has averaged 60 receiving yards over 3 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 38.5 (-110), and our model projects 60 — 22 above the number, so the play is the over.
Still qualifies at the current line. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.
Sam LaPorta — Anytime touchdown: Yes
DET · TE
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 8 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +175
Sam LaPorta scored in 1 of 2 games this season and in 3 of 6 games last season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 36% in the DraftKings price (+175), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Amon-Ra St. Brown — Anytime touchdown: Yes
DET · WR
We project 1.25Recent average 0.68 over 16 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -120
Amon-Ra St. Brown scored in 2 of 2 games this season and in 5 of 14 games last season (1.25 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 68% chance to score, against 55% in the DraftKings price (-120), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.