Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

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  Deshaun Watson over 29.5 rushing yards

  CLE · QB
  We project 42Recent average 42 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -112

  Deshaun Watson has averaged 42 rushing yards over 2 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 29.5 (-112), and our model projects 42 — 12 above the number, so the play is the over.

  ✕MissedFinal: Deshaun Watson 22 rushing yards

• 

  Denzel Boston over 37.5 receiving yards

  CLE · WR
  We project 49Recent average 49 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -111

  Denzel Boston has averaged 49 receiving yards over 2 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 37.5 (-111), and our model projects 49 — 12 above the number, so the play is the over.

  ✓HitFinal: Denzel Boston 89 receiving yards

• 

  DK Metcalf over 3.5 receptions

  PIT · WR
  We project 4Recent average 4 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -143

  DK Metcalf has averaged 4 receptions over 1 game this season and 4 across 11 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 3.5 (-143), and our model projects 4 — 0.5 above the number, so the play is the over.

  ✓HitFinal: DK Metcalf 5 receptions

• 

  Jaylen Warren under 3.5 receptions

  PIT · RB
  We project 3.1Recent average 3.1 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -127

  Jaylen Warren has averaged 3.2 receptions over 3 games this season and 2.8 across 12 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 3.5 (-127), and our model projects 3.1 — 0.4 below the number, so the play is the under.

  ✓HitFinal: Jaylen Warren 3 receptions

• 

  Ben Skowronek — Anytime touchdown: Yes

  PIT · WR
  We project 0.14Recent average 0.14 over 6 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +1500

  Ben Skowronek scored in 0 of 1 game this season and in 1 of 5 games last season (0.14 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 14% chance to score, against 6% in the DraftKings price (+1500), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.

  ✕MissedFinal: Ben Skowronek did not score a touchdown

• 

  Jerry Jeudy over 1.5 receptions

  CLE · WR
  We project 2.6Recent average 2.6 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +125

  Jerry Jeudy has averaged 2 receptions over 1 game this season and 2.9 across 12 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 1.5 (+125), and our model projects 2.6 — 1.1 above the number, so the play is the over.

  ✓HitFinal: Jerry Jeudy 3 receptions

Records & form

How our picks have graded in NFL, plus how both teams have actually played.

Our NFL record

6-18

25% of graded picks covered

Road team

Pittsburgh Steelers

Record 0-0

Against the spread 0-0

See all Pittsburgh Steelers picks & results

Home team

Cleveland Browns

Record 0-0

Against the spread 0-0

See all Cleveland Browns picks & results

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