Post-game analysisNFLSunday, September 20, 2026Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 20, 2026

The pick

Take Philadelphia Eagles -7

Philadelphia Eagles is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 7 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: medium

The betting line

PHI -7

Sportsbooks make Philadelphia Eagles the favorite by 7. Expected combined score: 39.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 12:08 PM EDT

Our projected score

Philadelphia Eagles logo Philadelphia Eagles24

Tennessee Titans logo Tennessee Titans15

Final score

Philadelphia Eagles logo Philadelphia Eagles24

Tennessee Titans logo Tennessee Titans20

Pick missed

FOX — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 20, 2026

Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans projection

Philadelphia Eagles visit Tennessee Titans in NFL on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Our projection reads PHI 24 – TEN 15, a 9-point edge to Philadelphia Eagles. DraftKings has TEN +7 with a total of 39.5.

This is week 2 of the 2026 regular season. 1 completed week of this regular season are blended with last season's results, adjusted for opponent quality and home field, across 288 regular-season games. Preseason games are excluded entirely, and the DraftKings number posted before kickoff carries 65% of the projection because our own sample is rated moderate.

The pre-kickoff availability record was 100% complete and is reflected in the projection. Our published pick is Philadelphia Eagles -7 at the draftkings number recorded 2026-09-15T17:07:55+00:00, rated medium by cs-nfl-2026.09.2, our preseason-free model, which is still being measured game by game against our published record. That locked number and this projection are what the result is graded against; neither is ever rewritten.

How the model got here

Projected 24–15 away–home (week 2), leaning away against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 65% weight on the market. Rating: medium. [nflprov]

Full-game total

DraftKings last quoted 39.5 — Over -112 / Under -108.

Low

Our projected combined score is 39 · Under win probability 51.3%.

This is a model projection for context, not a recommendation. Only a high-rated total becomes a tracked pick.

No full-game total recommendation was published on this game. the projection was not made by the league's active public version.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Tony Pollard over 44.5 rushing yards-109DraftKings line 44.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · result win
Tyjae Spears over 2.5 receptions-125DraftKings line 2.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · result loss
DeVonta Smith under 4.5 receptions+104DraftKings line 4.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · result loss
Dallas Goedert — Anytime touchdown: Yes+215DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · result loss
Elic Ayomanor — Anytime touchdown: Yes+850DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 7:16 AM EDT · result loss

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Dontayvion Wicks — Anytime touchdown: Yes
PHI · WR
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +330
Dontayvion Wicks has scored in 1 of his last 1 games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 63% chance to score, against 23% in the DraftKings price (+330), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Dontayvion Wicks did not score a touchdown
Tony Pollard over 44.5 rushing yards
TEN · RB
We project 69Recent average 69 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -109
Tony Pollard has averaged 69 rushing yards over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 44.5 (-109), and our model projects 69 — 24 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Tony Pollard 64 rushing yards
Tyjae Spears over 2.5 receptions
TEN · RB
We project 3.6Recent average 3.6 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -125
Tyjae Spears has averaged 3.6 receptions over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (-125), and our model projects 3.6 — 1.1 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Tyjae Spears 2 receptions
DeVonta Smith under 4.5 receptions
PHI · WR
We project 3.2Recent average 3.5 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +104
DeVonta Smith has averaged 3.5 receptions over 10 recent games, and the matchup is tough — they concede about 9% less than a league-average opponent. The DraftKings line is 4.5 (+104), and our model projects 3.2 — 1.3 below the number, so the play is the under.
MissedFinal: DeVonta Smith 10 receptions
Dallas Goedert — Anytime touchdown: Yes
PHI · TE
We project 0.93Recent average 0.93 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +215
Dallas Goedert has scored in 5 of his last 10 games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 61% chance to score, against 32% in the DraftKings price (+215), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Dallas Goedert did not score a touchdown
Elic Ayomanor — Anytime touchdown: Yes
TEN · WR
We project 0.37Recent average 0.37 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +850
Elic Ayomanor has scored in 3 of his last 10 games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 31% chance to score, against 11% in the DraftKings price (+850), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Elic Ayomanor did not score a touchdown