Post-game analysisNFLSunday, September 13, 2026Final

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 13, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

NYJ 19 – TEN 20

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

Model rating: low

The betting line

TEN -1.5

Sportsbooks make Tennessee Titans the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 38.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 12:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

New York Jets logo New York Jets19

Tennessee Titans logo Tennessee Titans20

Final score

New York Jets logo New York Jets23

Tennessee Titans logo Tennessee Titans10

Pick covered

CBS — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 13, 2026

Preview: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans projection

New York Jets visit Tennessee Titans in NFL on Sunday, September 13, 2026. Our projection reads NYJ 18 – TEN 20, a 2-point edge to Tennessee Titans. DraftKings has TEN -1.5 with a total of 38.5.

This is week 1 of the 2026 regular season. 1 completed week of this regular season are blended with last season's results, adjusted for opponent quality and home field, across 274 regular-season games. Preseason games are excluded entirely, and the DraftKings number posted before kickoff carries 65% of the projection because our own sample is rated moderate.

The pre-kickoff availability record was 100% complete and is reflected in the projection. This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation; it comes from our preseason-free model, which is serving projections while it is still being measured game by game against our published record. Nothing here is counted in our graded record unless a pick is published for it.

How the model got here

Projected 19–20 away–home (week 1), leaning away against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 65% weight on the market. Rating: low. [nflprov]

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Tony Pollard over 54.5 rushing yards
TEN · RB
We project 65Recent average 65 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -110
Tony Pollard has averaged 65 rushing yards over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 54.5 (-110), and our model projects 65 — 11 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Tony Pollard 35 rushing yards
Mason Taylor over 2.5 receptions
NYJ · TE
We project 2.9Recent average 2.9 over 7 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +119
Mason Taylor has averaged 2.9 receptions over 7 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (+119), and our model projects 2.9 — 0.4 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Mason Taylor 2 receptions
Adonai Mitchell over 2.5 receptions
NYJ · WR
We project 2.7Recent average 2.7 over 9 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings -127
Adonai Mitchell has averaged 2.7 receptions over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (-127), and our model projects 2.7 — 0.2 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Adonai Mitchell 3 receptions
Breece Hall over 64.5 rushing yards
NYJ · RB
We project 68Recent average 68 over 9 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings -110
Breece Hall has averaged 68 rushing yards over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 64.5 (-110), and our model projects 68 — 3 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Breece Hall 102 rushing yards
Tyjae Spears over 2.5 receptions
TEN · RB
We project 3.8Recent average 3.8 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -167
Tyjae Spears has averaged 3.8 receptions over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (-167), and our model projects 3.8 — 1.3 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Tyjae Spears 2 receptions
Cam Ward under 207.5 passing yards
TEN · QB
We project 152Recent average 152 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -112
Cam Ward has averaged 152 passing yards over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 207.5 (-112), and our model projects 152 — 55 below the number, so the play is the under.
HitFinal: Cam Ward 140 passing yards