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CoveredSports

Prediction desk

Covered Select · New
PreviewNFLMonday, September 21, 2026Mon, 8:15 PM EDT
New York Giants logoLos Angeles Rams logo

New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams

Game preview · Monday, September 21, 2026

The pick

Take Los Angeles Rams -7

Los Angeles Rams is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 7 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: low

Current market

Player availability has changed

The official pick stays tracked and graded at its locked number. Availability has changed since it locked.

home skill positions availability is down since this pick locked.

Official pick
-7 · locked Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT
Latest DraftKings
-7 · Sep 21, 2026 · 4:07 AM EDT

Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.

The betting line

LAR -7

Sportsbooks make Los Angeles Rams the favorite by 7. Expected combined score: 47.5

DraftKings · updated Mon, 4:07 AM EDT

Our projected score

New York Giants logoNew York Giants20

Los Angeles Rams logoLos Angeles Rams28

Kickoff

Mon, 8:15 PM EDT

ESPN, ABC — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 21, 2026

Preview: New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams projection

New York Giants visit Los Angeles Rams in NFL on Monday, September 21, 2026. Our projection reads NYG 20 – LAR 28, a 8-point edge to Los Angeles Rams. DraftKings has LAR -7 with a total of 48.5.

This is week 2 of the 2026 regular season. 1 completed week of this regular season are blended with last season's results, adjusted for opponent quality and home field, across 288 regular-season games. Preseason games are excluded entirely, and the DraftKings number posted before kickoff carries 65% of the projection because our own sample is rated moderate.

The pre-kickoff availability record was 100% complete and is reflected in the projection. Our published pick is Los Angeles Rams -7 at the draftkings number recorded 2026-09-15T23:07:34+00:00, rated low by cs-nfl-2026.09.2, our preseason-free model, which is still being measured game by game against our published record. That locked number and this projection are what the result is graded against; neither is ever rewritten.

Get an updated prediction

Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.

Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.

Side

For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.

Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.

How the model got here

Projected 20–28 away–home (week 2), leaning home against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 65% weight on the market. Rating: low. [nflprov]

Full-game total

DraftKings is quoting 47.5 — Over -110 / Under -110.

Low

Our projected combined score is 48 · Over win probability 51.3%.

This is a model projection for context, not a recommendation. Only a high-rated total becomes a tracked pick.

No full-game total recommendation was published on this game. the total is 183 minutes old, past the staleness limit.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

  • Jaxson Dart over 30.5 rushing yards-113DraftKings line 30.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:08 PM EDT · result pending
  • Matthew Stafford under 2.5 passing touchdowns-221DraftKings line 2.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:08 PM EDT · result pending
  • Cam Skattebo over 50.5 rushing yards-110DraftKings line 50.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 8:08 PM EDT · result pending

Each number and price is the DraftKings figure recorded before kickoff and never changed afterwards. Times are Eastern.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

  • Malik Nabers

    Malik Nabers under 5.5 receptions

    NYG · WR
    We project 4.3Recent average 4.3 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -105

    Malik Nabers has averaged 6 receptions over 1 game this season and 3.5 across 2 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 5.5 (-105), and our model projects 4.3 — 1.3 below the number, so the play is the under.

    Still qualifies at the current line. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.

  • Puka Nacua

    Puka Nacua over 87.5 receiving yards

    LAR · WR
    We project 98Recent average 98 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -112

    Puka Nacua has averaged 74 receiving yards over 1 game this season and 108 across 14 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 87.5 (-112), and our model projects 98 — 10 above the number, so the play is the over.

    Current DraftKings market unavailable. DraftKings has withdrawn or paused this market. The official pick stays tracked and graded at its locked number. Not used in new parlays or new social posts. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.

  • Davante Adams

    Davante Adams over 3.5 receptions

    LAR · WR
    We project 3.9Recent average 3.9 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -138

    Davante Adams has averaged 3 receptions over 1 game this season and 4.3 across 12 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 3.5 (-138), and our model projects 3.9 — 0.4 above the number, so the play is the over.

    No longer qualifies at the current line. The official pick stays tracked and graded at over 3.5. Not used in new parlays or new social posts. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.

  • Jaxson Dart

    Jaxson Dart over 30.5 rushing yards

    NYG · QB
    We project 43Recent average 43 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -113

    Jaxson Dart has averaged 54 rushing yards over 1 game this season and 38 across 13 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 30.5 (-113), and our model projects 43 — 12 above the number, so the play is the over.

  • Matthew Stafford

    Matthew Stafford under 2.5 passing touchdowns

    LAR · QB
    We project 2Recent average 2 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -221

    Matthew Stafford has averaged 0 passing touchdowns over 1 game this season and 2.8 across 15 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (-221), and our model projects 2 — 0.5 below the number, so the play is the under.

    No longer qualifies at the current line. The official pick stays tracked and graded at under 2.5. Not used in new parlays or new social posts. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.

  • Cam Skattebo

    Cam Skattebo over 50.5 rushing yards

    NYG · RB
    We project 61Recent average 61 over 8 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -110

    Cam Skattebo has averaged 81 rushing yards over 1 game this season and 52 across 7 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 50.5 (-110), and our model projects 61 — 10 above the number, so the play is the over.

    Still qualifies at the current line. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.

Records & form

How our picks have graded in NFL, plus how both teams have actually played.

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Our strongest upcoming calls outside NFL.