Post-game analysisNFLSunday, September 20, 2026Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 20, 2026

The pick

Take Los Angeles Chargers -7

Los Angeles Chargers is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 7 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: low

The betting line

LAC -6.5

Sportsbooks make Los Angeles Chargers the favorite by 6.5. Expected combined score: 43.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 3:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

Las Vegas Raiders logo Las Vegas Raiders18

Los Angeles Chargers logo Los Angeles Chargers26

Final score

Las Vegas Raiders logo Las Vegas Raiders26

Los Angeles Chargers logo Los Angeles Chargers14

Pick missed

CBS — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 20, 2026

Preview: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers projection

Las Vegas Raiders visit Los Angeles Chargers in NFL on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Our projection reads LV 18 – LAC 26, a 8-point edge to Los Angeles Chargers. DraftKings has LAC -7 with a total of 43.5.

This is week 2 of the 2026 regular season. 1 completed week of this regular season are blended with last season's results, adjusted for opponent quality and home field, across 288 regular-season games. Preseason games are excluded entirely, and the DraftKings number posted before kickoff carries 65% of the projection because our own sample is rated moderate.

The pre-kickoff availability record was 100% complete and is reflected in the projection. Our published pick is Los Angeles Chargers -7 at the draftkings number recorded 2026-09-15T17:07:55+00:00, rated low by cs-nfl-2026.09.2, our preseason-free model, which is still being measured game by game against our published record. That locked number and this projection are what the result is graded against; neither is ever rewritten.

How the model got here

Projected 18–26 away–home (week 2), leaning home against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 65% weight on the market. Rating: low. [nflprov]

Full-game total

DraftKings last quoted 43.5 — Over -110 / Under -110.

Low

Our projected combined score is 44 · Over win probability 51.3%.

This is a model projection for context, not a recommendation. Only a high-rated total becomes a tracked pick.

No full-game total recommendation was published on this game. the projection was not made by the league's active public version.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Kimani Vidal — Anytime touchdown: Yes+650DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 12:08 PM EDT · result pending
Jack Bech — Anytime touchdown: Yes+850DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 17, 12:08 PM EDT · result loss

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Omarion Hampton under 64.5 rushing yards
LAC · RB
We project 58Recent average 58 over 8 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -112
Omarion Hampton has averaged 43 rushing yards over 1 game this season and 64 across 7 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 64.5 (-112), and our model projects 58 — 7 below the number, so the play is the under.
MissedFinal: Omarion Hampton 94 rushing yards
Omarion Hampton — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LAC · RB
We project 0.7Recent average 0.7 over 8 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -160
Omarion Hampton scored in 1 of 1 game this season and in 4 of 7 games last season (0.7 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 70% chance to score, against 62% in the DraftKings price (-160), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Omarion Hampton scored a touchdown
Ashton Jeanty over 65.5 rushing yards
LV · RB
We project 71Recent average 71 over 10 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings -109
Ashton Jeanty has averaged 102 rushing yards over 1 game this season and 58 across 15 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 65.5 (-109), and our model projects 71 — 6 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Ashton Jeanty 48 rushing yards
Ashton Jeanty under 4.5 receptions
LV · RB
We project 4.2Recent average 4.2 over 10 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings -151
Ashton Jeanty has averaged 6 receptions over 1 game this season and 3.5 across 15 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 4.5 (-151), and our model projects 4.2 — 0.3 below the number, so the play is the under.
HitFinal: Ashton Jeanty 4 receptions
Kimani Vidal — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LAC · RB
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 12 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +650
Kimani Vidal scored in 4 of 12 games last season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 13% in the DraftKings price (+650), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Jack Bech — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LV · WR
We project 0.3Recent average 0.3 over 12 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +850
Jack Bech scored in 1 of 1 game this season and in 0 of 11 games last season (0.3 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 30% chance to score, against 11% in the DraftKings price (+850), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jack Bech did not score a touchdown