PreviewNFLSunday, November 8, 2026Sun, 4:05 PM EST

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

Game preview · Sunday, November 8, 2026

The pick

Take Houston Texans -3

Houston Texans is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 3 points.

Pick locked in: Oct 28, 2026 · 11:24 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: medium

Current market

Current market check pending

The official pick stays tracked and graded at its locked number. A fresh read has not been computed yet.

Official pick: -3 · locked Oct 28, 2026 · 11:24 PM EDT
Latest DraftKings: -6 · Nov 8, 2026 · 1:07 AM EST

Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.

The betting line

HOU -6

Sportsbooks make Houston Texans the favorite by 6. Expected combined score: 40.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 1:07 AM EST

Our projected score

Houston Texans logo Houston Texans24

Los Angeles Chargers logo Los Angeles Chargers19

Kickoff

Sun, 4:05 PM EST

CBS — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Nov 8, 2026

Preview: Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

The Houston Texans head west to face the Los Angeles Chargers in a Week 9 matchup. DraftKings set the line with Houston as a 3-point road favorite alongside a game total of 42.5, which is the number we took. Our statistical model evaluates both teams using regular-season performance data while applying a 50 percent anchor weight to the prevailing market consensus.

Our model projects a 24–19 victory for the Texans. That five-point forecasted margin clears the tracked -3 spread, suggesting a viable statistical edge on Houston to cover on the road. The projected 43 combined points also sits right in line with the market total, pointing toward a steady, controlled contest.

Based on the calculated gap between our projected margin and the market line, our model assigns a medium rating to Houston -3. While statistical simulations identify probabilistic edges rather than certainties, the current regular-season metrics support Houston covering the short number away from home.

Get an updated prediction

Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.

Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.

Side

Spread for HOU

For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.

American odds

Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.

How the model got here

Projected 24–19 away–home (week 9), leaning away against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 50% weight on the market. Rating: medium. [nflprov]

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Omarion Hampton over 28.5 rushing yards-111DraftKings line 28.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 3, 8:17 PM EST · result pending
Dalton Schultz over 34.5 receiving yards-113DraftKings line 34.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 3, 8:17 PM EST · result pending
Dalton Schultz over 3.5 receptions-143DraftKings line 3.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 3, 8:17 PM EST · result pending
Nico Collins over 66.5 receiving yards-110DraftKings line 66.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 3, 8:17 PM EST · result pending

Each number and price is the DraftKings figure recorded before kickoff and never changed afterwards. Times are Eastern.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Scott Matlock — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LAC
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +3000
Scott Matlock scored in 1 of 2 games last season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 3% in the DraftKings price (+3000), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Quentin Johnston over 30.5 receiving yards
LAC · WR
We project 36Recent average 36 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -113
Quentin Johnston has averaged 33 receiving yards over 4 games this season and 47 across 7 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 30.5 (-113), and our model projects 36 — 6 above the number, so the play is the over.
Omarion Hampton over 28.5 rushing yards
LAC · RB
We project 47Recent average 47 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -111
Omarion Hampton has averaged 45 rushing yards over 5 games this season and 58 across 4 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 28.5 (-111), and our model projects 47 — 19 above the number, so the play is the over.
Leans the same way at a different number. Tracked at over 28.5. The current line has moved to 36.5. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.
Dalton Schultz over 34.5 receiving yards
HOU · TE
We project 50Recent average 50 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -113
Dalton Schultz has averaged 50 receiving yards over 5 games this season and 45 across 11 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 34.5 (-113), and our model projects 50 — 15 above the number, so the play is the over.
Still qualifies at the current line. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.
Dalton Schultz over 3.5 receptions
HOU · TE
We project 4.9Recent average 4.9 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -143
Dalton Schultz has averaged 4.9 receptions over 5 games this season and 4.7 across 11 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 3.5 (-143), and our model projects 4.9 — 1.4 above the number, so the play is the over.
Still qualifies at the current line. Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line and price exactly as they were locked.
Nico Collins over 66.5 receiving yards
HOU · WR
We project 81Recent average 81 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -110
Nico Collins has averaged 79 receiving yards over 4 games this season and 86 across 9 games last season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 66.5 (-110), and our model projects 81 — 15 above the number, so the play is the over.