Post-game analysisNFLSunday, September 13, 2026Final

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers

Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 13, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

CHI 25 – CAR 23

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

Model rating: low

The betting line

CHI -3

Sportsbooks make Chicago Bears the favorite by 3. Expected combined score: 47.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 12:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

Chicago Bears logo Chicago Bears25

Carolina Panthers logo Carolina Panthers23

Final score

Chicago Bears logo Chicago Bears59

Carolina Panthers logo Carolina Panthers37

Pick missed

FOX — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 13, 2026

Preview: Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers projection

Chicago Bears visit Carolina Panthers in NFL on Sunday, September 13, 2026. Our projection reads CHI 25 – CAR 22, a 3-point edge to Chicago Bears. DraftKings has CAR +3 with a total of 47.5.

This is week 1 of the 2026 regular season. 1 completed week of this regular season are blended with last season's results, adjusted for opponent quality and home field, across 274 regular-season games. Preseason games are excluded entirely, and the DraftKings number posted before kickoff carries 65% of the projection because our own sample is rated moderate.

The pre-kickoff availability record was 100% complete and is reflected in the projection. This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation; it comes from our preseason-free model, which is serving projections while it is still being measured game by game against our published record. Nothing here is counted in our graded record unless a pick is published for it.

How the model got here

Projected 25–23 away–home (week 1), leaning home against the DraftKings number. Regular-season form only; preseason excluded. 65% weight on the market. Rating: low. [nflprov]

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Jalen Coker over 3.5 receptions
CAR · WR
We project 4Recent average 4 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -138
Jalen Coker has averaged 4 receptions over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The posted line is 3.5 at DraftKings (-138), and our model projects 4 — 0.5 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Jalen Coker 8 receptions
Caleb Williams over 1.5 passing touchdowns
CHI · QB
We project 1.7Recent average 1.7 over 10 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +100
Caleb Williams has averaged 1.7 passing touchdowns over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The posted line is 1.5 at DraftKings (+100), and our model projects 1.7 — 0.2 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Caleb Williams 2 passing touchdowns
Rome Odunze under 45.5 receiving yards
CHI · WR
We project 40Recent average 39 over 7 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -110
Rome Odunze has averaged 39 receiving yards over 7 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The posted line is 45.5 at DraftKings (-110), and our model projects 40 — 6 below the number, so the play is the under.
MissedFinal: Rome Odunze 52 receiving yards
Jalen Coker over 39 receiving yards
CAR · WR
We project 50Recent average 50 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -111
Jalen Coker has averaged 50 receiving yards over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The posted line is 39 at DraftKings (-111), and our model projects 50 — 11 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Jalen Coker 138 receiving yards
Tetairoa McMillan under 4.5 receptions
CAR · WR
We project 3.5Recent average 3.5 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -110
Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 3.5 receptions over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The posted line is 4.5 at DraftKings (-110), and our model projects 3.5 — 1 below the number, so the play is the under.
MissedFinal: Tetairoa McMillan 5 receptions
Colston Loveland over 50.5 receiving yards
CHI · TE
We project 61Recent average 60 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -110
Colston Loveland has averaged 60 receiving yards over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The posted line is 50.5 at DraftKings (-110), and our model projects 61 — 10 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Colston Loveland 0 receiving yards