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Post-game analysisNCAA FootballSaturday, September 12, 2026Final
Washington State Cougars logoKansas State Wildcats logo

Washington State Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats

Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 12, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

WSU 16KSU 33

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

Model rating: low

The betting line

KSU -17.5

Sportsbooks make Kansas State Wildcats the favorite by 17.5. Expected combined score: 48.5

DraftKings · updated Sat, 11:07 AM EDT

Our projected score

Washington State Cougars logoWashington State Cougars16

Kansas State Wildcats logoKansas State Wildcats33

Final score

Washington State Cougars logoWashington State Cougars7

Kansas State Wildcats logoKansas State Wildcats34

Pick missed

TNT — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 12, 2026

Preview: Washington State Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats projection

Washington State Cougars visit Kansas State Wildcats in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 12, 2026. Our model projects WSU 16 – KSU 33, a 17-point edge to Kansas State Wildcats. DraftKings currently has KSU -17.5 with a total of 48.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 12 completed home-side and 13 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.61 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of -17.5 / 48.5, which sat 15.73 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.61 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (-17.5 / 48.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

How the model got here

  • Projected score: 16 – 33 (away – home).
  • Current DraftKings number used: spread -17.5, total 48.5, and the projected score is blended 95% toward it.
  • Completed games on file: 12 for the home side and 13 for the away side, worth 0.61 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
  • Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 15.7 points from the market.
  • Model rating: unrated — only 0.61 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (-17.5 / 48.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation. No side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season NCAA Football games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.

Records & form

How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.

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