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Covered Select · New
Post-game analysisNCAA FootballSaturday, September 12, 2026Final
Wake Forest Demon Deacons logoPurdue Boilermakers logo

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Purdue Boilermakers

Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 12, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

WAKE 27PUR 24

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

Model rating: low

The betting line

WAKE -3

Sportsbooks make Wake Forest Demon Deacons the favorite by 3. Expected combined score: 50.5

DraftKings · updated Sat, 11:07 AM EDT

Our projected score

Wake Forest Demon Deacons logoWake Forest Demon Deacons27

Purdue Boilermakers logoPurdue Boilermakers24

Final score

Wake Forest Demon Deacons logoWake Forest Demon Deacons38

Purdue Boilermakers logoPurdue Boilermakers36

Pick covered

FS1 — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 12, 2026

Preview: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Purdue Boilermakers projection

Wake Forest Demon Deacons visit Purdue Boilermakers in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 12, 2026. Our model projects WAKE 27 – PUR 24, a 3-point edge to Wake Forest Demon Deacons. DraftKings currently has PUR +3 with a total of 50.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 14 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.58 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded insufficient, the projected score is blended 85% toward the DraftKings number of +3 / 50.5, which sat 2.105 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.58 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; score anchored 85% to the DraftKings number (3 / 50.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

How the model got here

  • Projected score: 27 – 24 (away – home).
  • Current DraftKings number used: spread +3, total 50.5, and the projected score is blended 85% toward it.
  • Completed games on file: 13 for the home side and 14 for the away side, worth 1.57 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
  • Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 2.1 points from the market.
  • Model rating: unrated — 1.57 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; score anchored 85% to the DraftKings number (3 / 50.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation. No side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season NCAA Football games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.

Records & form

How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.

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