Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College Eagles
Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 26, 2026
Model projection — no official pick
VT 34 – BC 22
This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.
The betting line
VT -14
Sportsbooks make Virginia Tech Hokies the favorite by 14. Expected combined score: 48.5
DraftKings · updated Wed, 9:07 PM EDT
Our projected score
Virginia Tech Hokies34
Boston College Eagles22
Final score
Virginia Tech Hokies21
Boston College Eagles14
ACC Network — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 26, 2026
Preview: Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College Eagles projection
Virginia Tech Hokies visit Boston College Eagles in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Our model projects VT 34 – BC 22, a 12-point edge to Virginia Tech Hokies. DraftKings currently has BC +14 with a total of 48.5.
The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 12 completed home-side and 13 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.43 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.
This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.43 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; the DraftKings observation is 25 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- VT
Chanz Wiggins — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +750Chanz Wiggins scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 12% in the DraftKings price (+750), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- BC
Johnathan Montague Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +270Johnathan Montague Jr. scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 27% in the DraftKings price (+270), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- VT
Luke Reynolds — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1.33Recent average 1 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +125Luke Reynolds scored in 3 of 3 games this season (1.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 44% in the DraftKings price (+125), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Luke Reynolds did not score a touchdown
- BC
Evan Dickens — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -110Evan Dickens scored in 3 of 3 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 52% in the DraftKings price (-110), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Evan Dickens did not score a touchdown
- VT
Ethan Grunkemeyer — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +185Ethan Grunkemeyer scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 35% in the DraftKings price (+185), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Ethan Grunkemeyer did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Virginia Tech Hokies
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all Virginia Tech Hokies picks & results
Home team
Boston College Eagles
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all Boston College Eagles picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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- WMU at AKRNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTWMU -13.5 · pick AKR +13.5
- OHIO at M-OHNCAA Football · Tue, 8:00 PM ESTM-OH -1.5 · pick OHIO +1.5
- SAC at CMUNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTCMU -15.5 · pick SAC +15.5
- BUFF at BALLNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTBUFF -3 · pick BUFF -3
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