Post-game analysisNCAA FootballSaturday, September 19, 2026Final

USC Trojans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 19, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

USC 39 – RUTG 19

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

USC -21

Sportsbooks make USC Trojans the favorite by 21. Expected combined score: 58.5

DraftKings · updated Sat, 3:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

USC Trojans logo USC Trojans39

Rutgers Scarlet Knights logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights19

Final score

USC Trojans logo USC Trojans42

Rutgers Scarlet Knights logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights35

CBS — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 19, 2026

Preview: USC Trojans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights projection

USC Trojans visit Rutgers Scarlet Knights in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Our model projects USC 39 – RUTG 19, a 20-point edge to USC Trojans. DraftKings currently has RUTG +21 with a total of 57.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 12 completed home-side and 13 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.59 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of +21 / 57.5, which sat 16.414 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.59 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (21 / 57.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

Full-game total

DraftKings last quoted 58.5 — Over -118 / Under -102.

Medium

Our projected combined score is 56 · Under win probability 52.3%.

This is a model projection for context, not a recommendation. Only a high-rated total becomes a tracked pick.

No full-game total recommendation was published on this game. no explicit pregame data-quality verdict was recorded.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

KJ Duff — Anytime touchdown: Yes
RUTG
We project 2Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -110
KJ Duff scored in 1 of 1 game this season (2 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 52% in the DraftKings price (-110), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: KJ Duff scored a touchdown
Antwan Raymond — Anytime touchdown: Yes
RUTG
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -130
Antwan Raymond scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 57% in the DraftKings price (-130), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Antwan Raymond scored a touchdown
Tanook Hines — Anytime touchdown: Yes
USC
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -135
Tanook Hines scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 57% in the DraftKings price (-135), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Tanook Hines did not score a touchdown
Zacharyus Williams — Anytime touchdown: Yes
USC
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +205
Zacharyus Williams scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 33% in the DraftKings price (+205), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Zacharyus Williams did not score a touchdown