UNLV Rebels at Akron Zips
Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 26, 2026
Model projection — no official pick
UNLV 25 – AKR 24
This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.
The betting line
UNLV -13.5
Sportsbooks make UNLV Rebels the favorite by 13.5. Expected combined score: 52.5
DraftKings · updated Wed, 10:06 PM EDT
Our projected score
UNLV Rebels25
Akron Zips24
Final score
UNLV Rebels38
Akron Zips10
ESPN+ — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 26, 2026
Preview: UNLV Rebels at Akron Zips projection
UNLV Rebels visit Akron Zips in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Our model projects UNLV 25 – AKR 24, a 1-point edge to UNLV Rebels. DraftKings currently has AKR +13.5 with a total of 52.5.
The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 11 completed home-side and 16 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.36 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.
This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.36 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; the DraftKings observation is 24 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- UNLV
Tavian McNair — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +230Tavian McNair scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 30% in the DraftKings price (+230), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Tavian McNair did not score a touchdown
- AKR
Titus Myers — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +650Titus Myers scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 13% in the DraftKings price (+650), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- AKR
Elijah Alexander — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +340Elijah Alexander scored in 2 of 3 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 23% in the DraftKings price (+340), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Elijah Alexander did not score a touchdown
- AKR
Miles Burris — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +600Miles Burris scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 14% in the DraftKings price (+600), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Miles Burris did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
UNLV Rebels
Record 0-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all UNLV Rebels picks & results
Home team
Akron Zips
Record 0-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all Akron Zips picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
Upcoming College Football games
- KENT at BGSUNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTBGSU -5.5 · pick BGSU -5.5
- WMU at AKRNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTWMU -13.5 · pick AKR +13.5
- OHIO at M-OHNCAA Football · Tue, 8:00 PM ESTM-OH -1.5 · pick OHIO +1.5
- SAC at CMUNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTCMU -15.5 · pick SAC +15.5
- BUFF at BALLNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTBUFF -3 · pick BUFF -3
Popular games from other leagues
Our strongest upcoming calls outside NCAA Football.