UAB Blazers at Temple Owls
Game preview · Saturday, November 14, 2026
The pick
Take UAB Blazers +2.5
UAB Blazers is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 2.5 points.
Pick locked in: Nov 8, 2026 · 12:09 PM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: low
Current market
No longer recommended at the current line
The official pick stays tracked and graded at +2.5.
- Official pick
- +2.5 · locked Nov 8, 2026 · 12:09 PM EST
- Latest DraftKings
- +2.5 · Nov 9, 2026 · 8:09 PM EST
Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.
The betting line
TEM -2.5
Sportsbooks make Temple Owls the favorite by 2.5. Expected combined score: 48.5
DraftKings · updated Mon, 8:09 PM EST
Our projected score
UAB Blazers24
Temple Owls26
Kickoff
Sat, 1:00 PM EST
ESPN+ — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Nov 14, 2026
Preview: UAB Blazers at Temple Owls
UAB visits Temple on Saturday in what the numbers suggest will be a tightly contested matchup. When the line opened, we took the UAB Blazers at +2.5 on DraftKings alongside a total of 51.5. Our statistical model projects a narrow final score of Temple 26, UAB 24. At that margin, the Blazers cover the tracked spread by half a point.
The projection is built from 42 completed games in the database—21 home-side and 21 away-side—spanning the current and discounted prior season. After opponent adjustments, that yields an effective sample of 7.86 weighted games. Before applying a 40 percent anchor toward the live DraftKings numbers, the model's independent projection differed from the market spread by approximately 0.3 points.
Because the projected differential sits so close to the market number and relies on a thinner effective sample, the model issues a low rating on this pick. Statistical projections outline probabilities rather than certainties, but our baseline indicates a competitive game where UAB can stay inside the tracked number.
Get an updated prediction
Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.
Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.
Side
For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.
Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.
How the model got here
- Projected score: 24 – 26 (away – home).
- Current DraftKings number used: spread -2.5, total 51.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
- Completed games on file: 21 for the home side and 21 for the away side, worth 7.86 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
- Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 0.3 points from the market.
- Model rating: low — 7.86 weighted games of history on both sides; score anchored 40% to the DraftKings number (-2.5 / 51.5); low: 0.2 points of retained edge. No side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season NCAA Football games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
UAB Blazers
Record 1-0
Against the spread 1-0 (100%)
See all UAB Blazers picks & results
Home team
Temple Owls
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-0
See all Temple Owls picks & results
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