Tulane Green Wave at Rice Owls
Game preview · Saturday, November 14, 2026
The pick
Take Tulane Green Wave +1.5
Tulane Green Wave is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.
Pick locked in: Nov 8, 2026 · 12:09 PM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: low
Current market
No longer recommended at the current line
The official pick stays tracked and graded at +1.5.
- Official pick
- +1.5 · locked Nov 8, 2026 · 12:09 PM EST
- Latest DraftKings
- +2.5 · Nov 9, 2026 · 8:09 PM EST
Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.
The betting line
RICE -2.5
Sportsbooks make Rice Owls the favorite by 2.5. Expected combined score: 48.5
DraftKings · updated Mon, 8:09 PM EST
Our projected score
Tulane Green Wave24
Rice Owls25
Kickoff
Sat, 2:00 PM EST
ESPN+ — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Nov 14, 2026
Preview: Tulane Green Wave at Rice Owls
Rice hosts Tulane on Saturday in what our statistical model projects as a razor-thin contest. Our system forecasts a final score of Rice 25, Tulane 24, pointing toward a game decided by the thinnest of margins.
The projection is built on 45 completed games across the current and discounted prior seasons, adjusted for opponent strength to establish an effective sample of 7.90 weighted games. Before applying a 40% anchor to the DraftKings market lines (a -1.5 spread and 47.5 total), the independent projection sat about one point off the market consensus.
With the model projecting Rice to win by a single point, the value sits with Tulane at the +1.5 number we took. In our 25–24 simulation, that half-point hook enables the Green Wave to cover the tracked spread. Because of the tight projection window and a lighter effective sample, the model designates this pick with a low rating.
Get an updated prediction
Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.
Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.
Side
For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.
Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.
How the model got here
- Projected score: 24 – 25 (away – home).
- Current DraftKings number used: spread -1.5, total 47.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
- Completed games on file: 22 for the home side and 23 for the away side, worth 7.90 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
- Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 1.0 points from the market.
- Model rating: low — 7.90 weighted games of history on both sides; score anchored 40% to the DraftKings number (-1.5 / 47.5); low: 0.6 points of retained edge. No side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season NCAA Football games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Tulane Green Wave
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all Tulane Green Wave picks & results
Home team
Rice Owls
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-0
See all Rice Owls picks & results
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