Post-game analysisNCAA FootballSaturday, October 3, 2026Final

Stanford Cardinal at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Post-game analysis · Saturday, October 3, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

STAN 21 – WAKE 34

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

WAKE -14.5

Sportsbooks make Wake Forest Demon Deacons the favorite by 14.5. Expected combined score: 54.5

DraftKings · updated Sat, 11:08 AM EDT

Our projected score

Stanford Cardinal logo Stanford Cardinal21

Wake Forest Demon Deacons logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons34

Final score

Stanford Cardinal logo Stanford Cardinal3

Wake Forest Demon Deacons logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons57

ACC Network — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Oct 3, 2026

Preview: Stanford Cardinal at Wake Forest Demon Deacons projection

Stanford Cardinal visit Wake Forest Demon Deacons in NCAA Football on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Our model projects STAN 21 – WAKE 34, a 13-point edge to Wake Forest Demon Deacons. DraftKings currently has WAKE -14.5 with a total of 54.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 12 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.44 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded insufficient, the projected score is blended 85% toward the DraftKings number of -14.5 / 54.5, which sat 7.973 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.44 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; score anchored 85% to the DraftKings number (-14.5 / 54.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Caden High — Anytime touchdown: Yes+165DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 30, 8:19 PM EDT · result loss

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Jack Foley — Anytime touchdown: Yes
WAKE
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +280
Jack Foley scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 26% in the DraftKings price (+280), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Jack Foley scored a touchdown
Bryce Kania — Anytime touchdown: Yes
WAKE
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +500
Bryce Kania scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 17% in the DraftKings price (+500), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Nico Brown — Anytime touchdown: Yes
STAN
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +400
Nico Brown scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 20% in the DraftKings price (+400), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Nico Brown did not score a touchdown
Atticus Joseph — Anytime touchdown: Yes
STAN
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +425
Atticus Joseph scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 19% in the DraftKings price (+425), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Atticus Joseph did not score a touchdown
Antonio Meeks — Anytime touchdown: Yes
WAKE
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +310
Antonio Meeks scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 24% in the DraftKings price (+310), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Antonio Meeks did not score a touchdown
Caden High — Anytime touchdown: Yes
STAN
We project 0.71Recent average 0.49 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +165
Caden High scored in 2 of 3 games this season and in 1 of 6 games last season (0.71 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 49% chance to score, against 38% in the DraftKings price (+165), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Caden High did not score a touchdown