Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Post-game analysis · Saturday, November 7, 2026
The pick
Take Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -7
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 7 points.
Pick locked in: Nov 1, 2026 · 11:08 AM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: medium
The betting line
CCU -6.5
Sportsbooks make Coastal Carolina Chanticleers the favorite by 6.5. Expected combined score: 44.5
DraftKings · updated Sat, 12:08 PM EST
Our projected score
Old Dominion Monarchs18
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers27
Final score
Old Dominion Monarchs21
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers8
Pick missed
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Post-game analysis · Nov 7, 2026
Post-game: Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
On Saturday, November 7, 2026, Old Dominion pulled off an outright upset at Coastal Carolina, winning 21-8. That handed our tracked pick on the Chanticleers (-7) a clear loss, as Coastal Carolina failed to generate the offense needed to protect home field or cover the spread.
Our model had favored the Chanticleers, projecting a 27-18 Coastal Carolina victory. Working from opponent-adjusted scoring data across the current and discounted prior season and anchored to the market line, the projection expected a solid home performance with enough margin to clear the touchdown requirement.
The projection came reasonably close to forecasting Old Dominion's output, anticipating 18 points against the 21 the Monarchs delivered. Where the model missed entirely was Coastal Carolina's side of the ball. Projecting 27 points for an offense that managed just eight left the projection well off the mark and resulted in an inaccurate assessment of the game's direction.
Matchup preview · Nov 7, 2026
Preview: Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina hosts Old Dominion this Saturday, with the CoveredSports model projecting a 27–18 victory for the Chanticleers. Against the tracked DraftKings spread of -7, the number we took, our model points toward Coastal Carolina covering by two points, while the projected 45 combined points sits right alongside the market total of 45.5.
The projection is derived from 43 opponent-adjusted completed games across the current campaign and a discounted prior season. Before applying a 40% anchor weight toward the market lines, the independent projection differed from the DraftKings spread by 3.2 points. Factoring in that market baseline, our model assigns a medium rating to Coastal Carolina at -7.
The dataset carries an effective sample of 7.22 weighted games, which sits on the thinner side despite strong overall feature quality. While statistical modeling provides a baseline rather than a guaranteed outcome, the data suggests Coastal Carolina has a modest edge to push past the touchdown margin at home.
How the model got here
- Projected score: 18 – 27 (away – home).
- Current DraftKings number used: spread -7, total 45.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
- Completed games on file: 21 for the home side and 22 for the away side, worth 7.22 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
- Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 3.2 points from the market.
- Model rating: medium.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
- Jaden Allen-Hendrix — Anytime touchdown: Yes+265DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 7, 1:18 AM EST · result loss
- Maurki James — Anytime touchdown: Yes+280DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 7, 1:18 AM EST · result loss
This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- CCU
Goldie Lawrence — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 4 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +600Goldie Lawrence scored in 2 of 4 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 14% in the DraftKings price (+600), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- CCU
Colton Hinton — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.8Recent average 0.8 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +295Colton Hinton scored in 4 of 5 games this season (0.8 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 80% chance to score, against 25% in the DraftKings price (+295), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Colton Hinton did not score a touchdown
- ODU
Quinn Henicle — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.61Recent average 0.46 over 11 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings +145Quinn Henicle scored in 3 of 6 games this season and in 0 of 5 games last season (0.61 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 46% chance to score, against 41% in the DraftKings price (+145), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Quinn Henicle scored a touchdown
- CCU
Jaden Allen-Hendrix — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +265Jaden Allen-Hendrix scored in 3 of 6 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 27% in the DraftKings price (+265), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jaden Allen-Hendrix did not score a touchdown
- ODU
Maurki James — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.53Recent average 0.4 over 11 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +280Maurki James scored in 3 of 7 games this season and in 0 of 4 games last season (0.53 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 40% chance to score, against 26% in the DraftKings price (+280), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Maurki James did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Old Dominion Monarchs
Record 1-0
Against the spread 1-0 (100%)
See all Old Dominion Monarchs picks & results
Home team
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all Coastal Carolina Chanticleers picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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