Oklahoma Sooners at Georgia Bulldogs
Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 26, 2026
Model projection — no official pick
OU 18 – UGA 28
This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.
The betting line
UGA -14
Sportsbooks make Georgia Bulldogs the favorite by 14. Expected combined score: 44.5
DraftKings · updated Wed, 5:07 PM EDT
Our projected score
Oklahoma Sooners18
Georgia Bulldogs28
Final score
Oklahoma Sooners13
Georgia Bulldogs41
ESPN, Disney+ — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 26, 2026
Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at Georgia Bulldogs projection
Oklahoma Sooners visit Georgia Bulldogs in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Our model projects OU 18 – UGA 28, a 10-point edge to Georgia Bulldogs. DraftKings currently has UGA -14 with a total of 44.5.
The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 15 completed home-side and 14 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.61 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.
This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.61 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; the DraftKings observation is 44 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
- Lawson Luckie — Anytime touchdown: Yes+700DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 22, 9:46 PM EDT · result loss
- Isaiah Sategna III — Anytime touchdown: Yes+185DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 22, 9:46 PM EDT · result loss
This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- UGA
Kaiden Prothro — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +800Kaiden Prothro scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 11% in the DraftKings price (+800), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- OU
Hayden Hansen — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +750Hayden Hansen scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 12% in the DraftKings price (+750), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- OU
Mackenzie Alleyne — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +900Mackenzie Alleyne scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 10% in the DraftKings price (+900), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Mackenzie Alleyne did not score a touchdown
- UGA
Talyn Taylor — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +450Talyn Taylor scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 18% in the DraftKings price (+450), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Talyn Taylor scored a touchdown
- UGA
Lawson Luckie — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.75Recent average 0.5 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +700Lawson Luckie scored in 1 of 2 games this season and in 2 of 4 games last season (0.75 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 13% in the DraftKings price (+700), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Lawson Luckie did not score a touchdown
- OU
Isaiah Sategna III — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +185Isaiah Sategna III scored in 2 of 3 games this season and in 4 of 6 games last season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 35% in the DraftKings price (+185), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Isaiah Sategna III did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Oklahoma Sooners
Record 1-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all Oklahoma Sooners picks & results
Home team
Georgia Bulldogs
Record 1-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all Georgia Bulldogs picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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- KENT at BGSUNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTBGSU -5.5 · pick BGSU -5.5
- WMU at AKRNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTWMU -13.5 · pick AKR +13.5
- OHIO at M-OHNCAA Football · Tue, 8:00 PM ESTM-OH -1.5 · pick OHIO +1.5
- SAC at CMUNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTCMU -15.5 · pick SAC +15.5
- BUFF at BALLNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTBUFF -3 · pick BUFF -3
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