PreviewNCAA FootballSaturday, September 26, 2026Sat, 2:00 PM EDT

Northern Illinois Huskies at Georgia State Panthers

Game preview · Saturday, September 26, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

NIU 21 – GAST 32

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

Live score

0:13 - 4th

NIU 14 – GAST 35

No published side on this game, so there is no cover cushion to track.

Score as of Sep 26, 5:07 PM EDT. Live scores refresh on a short delay.

Current market at kickoff

Latest model projection

Updated Sep 26, 2026 · 1:08 PM EDT

Model projection only. It is not an official tracked pick and does not enter the public record.

The betting line

GAST -10.5

Sportsbooks make Georgia State Panthers the favorite by 10.5. Expected combined score: 55.5

DraftKings · updated Wed, 9:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

Northern Illinois Huskies logo Northern Illinois Huskies21

Georgia State Panthers logo Georgia State Panthers32

Kickoff

Sat, 2:00 PM EDT

ESPN+ — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 26, 2026

Preview: Northern Illinois Huskies at Georgia State Panthers projection

Northern Illinois Huskies visit Georgia State Panthers in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Our model projects NIU 21 – GAST 32, a 11-point edge to Georgia State Panthers. DraftKings currently has GAST -10.5 with a total of 55.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 12 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.58 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.58 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; the DraftKings observation is 24 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Cam Thompson — Anytime touchdown: Yes
NIU
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +350
Cam Thompson scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 22% in the DraftKings price (+350), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Dennis Murray Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
GAST
We project 0.92Recent average 0.67 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +145
Dennis Murray Jr. scored in 2 of 2 games this season and in 1 of 3 games last season (0.92 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 41% in the DraftKings price (+145), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Jamari Miller — Anytime touchdown: Yes
GAST
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +265
Jamari Miller scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 27% in the DraftKings price (+265), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Qwantavius Wiggins — Anytime touchdown: Yes
GAST
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +105
Qwantavius Wiggins scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 49% in the DraftKings price (+105), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Rickey Taylor Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
NIU
We project 0.23Recent average 0.23 over 4 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +800
Rickey Taylor Jr. scored in 0 of 1 game this season and in 1 of 3 games last season (0.23 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 23% chance to score, against 11% in the DraftKings price (+800), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.