PreviewNCAA FootballThursday, November 12, 2026Thu, 8:00 PM EST

Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls

Game preview · Thursday, November 12, 2026

The pick

Take South Florida Bulls +6.5

South Florida Bulls is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

Pick locked in: Nov 8, 2026 · 12:09 AM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: medium

Current market

Still supported at the current line

Official pick: +6.5 · locked Nov 8, 2026 · 12:09 AM EST
Latest DraftKings: +6.5 · Nov 8, 2026 · 12:08 AM EST

Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.

The betting line

MEM -6.5

Sportsbooks make Memphis Tigers the favorite by 6.5. Expected combined score: 49.5

DraftKings · updated Sun, 12:08 AM EST

Our projected score

Memphis Tigers logo Memphis Tigers27

South Florida Bulls logo South Florida Bulls24

Kickoff

Thu, 8:00 PM EST

ESPN — Local availability can differ.

Get an updated prediction

Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.

Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.

Side

Spread for USF

For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.

American odds

Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.

How the model got here

Projected score: 27 – 24 (away – home).
Current DraftKings number used: spread +6.5, total 49.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
Completed games on file: 22 for the home side and 22 for the away side, worth 7.74 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 5.6 points from the market.
Model rating: medium.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season NCAA Football games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.

Records & form

How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.

Our College Football record

6-3

66.7% of graded picks covered

Road team

Memphis Tigers

Record 0-0

Against the spread 0-0

See all Memphis Tigers picks & results

Home team

South Florida Bulls

Record 0-1

Against the spread 0-1 (0%)

See all South Florida Bulls picks & results

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