Post-game analysisNCAA FootballFriday, October 2, 2026Final

Liberty Flames at Delaware Blue Hens

Post-game analysis · Friday, October 2, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

LIB 29 – DEL 22

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

LIB -7

Sportsbooks make Liberty Flames the favorite by 7. Expected combined score: 51.5

DraftKings · updated Fri, 6:08 PM EDT

Our projected score

Liberty Flames logo Liberty Flames29

Delaware Blue Hens logo Delaware Blue Hens22

Final score

Liberty Flames logo Liberty Flames30

Delaware Blue Hens logo Delaware Blue Hens14

CBSSN — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Oct 2, 2026

Preview: Liberty Flames at Delaware Blue Hens projection

Liberty Flames visit Delaware Blue Hens in NCAA Football on Friday, October 2, 2026. Our model projects LIB 29 – DEL 22, a 7-point edge to Liberty Flames. DraftKings currently has DEL +7 with a total of 51.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 15 completed home-side and 12 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.55 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of +7 / 51.5, which sat 3.828 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.55 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (7 / 51.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Makai Jackson — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LIB
We project 1.25Recent average 1 over 4 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +165
Makai Jackson scored in 4 of 4 games this season (1.25 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 38% in the DraftKings price (+165), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Makai Jackson did not score a touchdown
Terron Kellman — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LIB
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +330
Terron Kellman scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 23% in the DraftKings price (+330), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Terron Kellman did not score a touchdown
Darius Copeland — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LIB
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +330
Darius Copeland scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 23% in the DraftKings price (+330), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Darius Copeland did not score a touchdown
Viron Ellison Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
DEL
We project 0.55Recent average 0.48 over 11 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +160
Viron Ellison Jr. scored in 2 of 4 games this season and in 3 of 7 games last season (0.55 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 48% chance to score, against 38% in the DraftKings price (+160), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Viron Ellison Jr. did not score a touchdown
Scott Moore — Anytime touchdown: Yes
DEL
We project 0.18Recent average 0.18 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +850
Scott Moore scored in 0 of 1 game this season and in 1 of 4 games last season (0.18 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 18% chance to score, against 11% in the DraftKings price (+850), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Scott Moore did not score a touchdown
Da'Wain Lofton — Anytime touchdown: Yes
DEL
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings +245
Da'Wain Lofton scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 29% in the DraftKings price (+245), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Da'Wain Lofton did not score a touchdown