Post-game analysisNCAA FootballThursday, September 24, 2026Final

Liberty Flames at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Post-game analysis · Thursday, September 24, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

LIB 26 – CCU 24

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

LIB -2.5

Sportsbooks make Liberty Flames the favorite by 2.5. Expected combined score: 50.5

DraftKings · updated Wed, 8:06 PM EDT

Our projected score

Liberty Flames logo Liberty Flames26

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers24

Final score

Liberty Flames logo Liberty Flames34

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers17

ESPN — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 24, 2026

Preview: Liberty Flames at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers projection

Liberty Flames visit Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in NCAA Football on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Our model projects LIB 26 – CCU 24, a 2-point edge to Liberty Flames. DraftKings currently has CCU +2.5 with a total of 50.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 14 completed home-side and 12 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.59 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of +2.5 / 50.5, which sat 8.115 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.59 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (2.5 / 50.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Colton Hinton — Anytime touchdown: Yes
CCU
We project 1Recent average 1 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +235
Colton Hinton scored in 3 of 3 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 30% in the DraftKings price (+235), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Colton Hinton scored a touchdown
Clayton Coppock Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
CCU
We project 1Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +240
Clayton Coppock Jr. scored in 2 of 3 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 29% in the DraftKings price (+240), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Clayton Coppock Jr. did not score a touchdown
Darius Copeland — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LIB
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +330
Darius Copeland scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 23% in the DraftKings price (+330), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Darius Copeland did not score a touchdown
Makai Jackson — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LIB
We project 1Recent average 1 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +190
Makai Jackson scored in 3 of 3 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 34% in the DraftKings price (+190), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Makai Jackson scored 2 touchdowns
Goldie Lawrence — Anytime touchdown: Yes
CCU
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +700
Goldie Lawrence scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 13% in the DraftKings price (+700), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Goldie Lawrence did not score a touchdown
Terron Kellman — Anytime touchdown: Yes
LIB
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +260
Terron Kellman scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 28% in the DraftKings price (+260), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Terron Kellman did not score a touchdown