Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Houston Cougars visit Texas Tech Red Raiders in NCAA Football on Friday, September 18, 2026. Our model projects HOU 21 – TTU 31, a 10-point edge to Texas Tech Red Raiders. DraftKings has no spread posted for this game right now.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 13 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.68 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of -10 / 51.5, which sat 2.097 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.68 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (-10 / 51.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.