Post-game analysisNCAA FootballSaturday, September 26, 2026Final

Houston Cougars at Georgia Southern Eagles

Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 26, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

HOU 24 – GASO 25

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

HOU -18.5

Sportsbooks make Houston Cougars the favorite by 18.5. Expected combined score: 56.5

DraftKings · updated Wed, 8:06 PM EDT

Our projected score

Houston Cougars logo Houston Cougars24

Georgia Southern Eagles logo Georgia Southern Eagles25

Final score

Houston Cougars logo Houston Cougars42

Georgia Southern Eagles logo Georgia Southern Eagles28

ESPNU — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 26, 2026

Preview: Houston Cougars at Georgia Southern Eagles projection

Houston Cougars visit Georgia Southern Eagles in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Our model projects HOU 24 – GASO 25, a 1-point edge to Georgia Southern Eagles. DraftKings currently has GASO +18.5 with a total of 56.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 16 completed home-side and 13 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.51 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.51 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; the DraftKings observation is 24 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Amare Thomas — Anytime touchdown: Yes-115DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 22, 10:18 PM EDT · result win
Weston Bryan — Anytime touchdown: Yes+190DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 22, 10:18 PM EDT · result loss

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Ashton Hollins — Anytime touchdown: Yes
GASO
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +190
Ashton Hollins scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 34% in the DraftKings price (+190), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Patrick Overmyer — Anytime touchdown: Yes
HOU
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +155
Patrick Overmyer scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 39% in the DraftKings price (+155), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Patrick Overmyer did not score a touchdown
Koby Young — Anytime touchdown: Yes
HOU
We project 0.65Recent average 0.43 over 8 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +170
Koby Young scored in 2 of 3 games this season and in 0 of 5 games last season (0.65 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 43% chance to score, against 37% in the DraftKings price (+170), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Koby Young scored a touchdown
Jamarian Samuel — Anytime touchdown: Yes
GASO
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence lowLine DraftKings +250
Jamarian Samuel scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 29% in the DraftKings price (+250), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jamarian Samuel did not score a touchdown
Amare Thomas — Anytime touchdown: Yes
HOU
We project 1.12Recent average 0.94 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -115
Amare Thomas scored in 3 of 3 games this season and in 5 of 6 games last season (1.12 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 94% chance to score, against 53% in the DraftKings price (-115), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Amare Thomas scored a touchdown
Weston Bryan — Anytime touchdown: Yes
GASO
We project 0.94Recent average 0.5 over 8 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +190
Weston Bryan scored in 2 of 3 games this season and in 1 of 5 games last season (0.94 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 34% in the DraftKings price (+190), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Weston Bryan did not score a touchdown