Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners
Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 26, 2026
Model projection — no official pick
CSU 24 – UTSA 32
This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.
The betting line
UTSA -13.5
Sportsbooks make UTSA Roadrunners the favorite by 13.5. Expected combined score: 58.5
DraftKings · updated Wed, 9:07 PM EDT
Our projected score
Colorado State Rams24
UTSA Roadrunners32
Final score
Colorado State Rams45
UTSA Roadrunners59
ESPNU — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 26, 2026
Preview: Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners projection
Colorado State Rams visit UTSA Roadrunners in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Our model projects CSU 24 – UTSA 32, a 8-point edge to UTSA Roadrunners. DraftKings currently has UTSA -13.5 with a total of 58.5.
The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 15 completed home-side and 12 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.44 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.
This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.44 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; the DraftKings observation is 24 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- CSU
Hauss Hejny — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +360Hauss Hejny scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 22% in the DraftKings price (+360), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- UTSA
DJ Allen Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.39Recent average 0.39 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +210DJ Allen Jr. scored in 1 of 3 games this season and in 1 of 2 games last season (0.39 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 39% chance to score, against 32% in the DraftKings price (+210), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: DJ Allen Jr. scored a touchdown
- UTSA
Brandon Young Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +155Brandon Young Jr. scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 39% in the DraftKings price (+155), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Brandon Young Jr. did not score a touchdown
- CSU
RJ Vick — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1.33Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +140RJ Vick scored in 2 of 3 games this season (1.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 42% in the DraftKings price (+140), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: RJ Vick scored a touchdown
- CSU
Jackson Harper — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +135Jackson Harper scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 43% in the DraftKings price (+135), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jackson Harper did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Colorado State Rams
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-0
See all Colorado State Rams picks & results
Home team
UTSA Roadrunners
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all UTSA Roadrunners picks & results
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