Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange
Post-game analysis · Saturday, November 7, 2026
The pick
Take Syracuse Orange +1.5
Syracuse Orange is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.
Pick locked in: Nov 1, 2026 · 11:08 AM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: medium
The betting line
CLEM -1.5
Sportsbooks make Clemson Tigers the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 49.5
DraftKings · updated Sat, 11:08 AM EST
Our projected score
Clemson Tigers24
Syracuse Orange25
Final score
Clemson Tigers18
Syracuse Orange13
Pick missed
ESPN2 — Local availability can differ.
Post-game analysis · Nov 7, 2026
Post-game: Clemson tops Syracuse 18-13 as Orange miss cover
On Saturday, November 7, 2026, Clemson edged Syracuse 18-13 in a tightly contested matchup. With the Tigers securing a five-point road victory, our pick on the Syracuse Orange at +1.5 went down as a loss against the tracked DraftKings spread.
Our model anticipated a much higher-scoring contest, projecting a 25-24 Syracuse win. While it correctly pegged the game as a one-possession finish that remained competitive throughout, it substantially missed on the overall scoring pace. The combined 31 points landed well below both our projection and the 49.5-point market total.
Ultimately, Syracuse's offense was unable to generate enough points to stay inside the 1.5-point cushion. Our opponent-adjusted scoring baseline overestimated what either side would produce relative to recent schedule results, leaving our spread position short in a low-scoring, defensive affair.
Matchup preview · Nov 7, 2026
Preview: Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange
The Syracuse Orange host the Clemson Tigers this Saturday, with our statistical model projecting a narrow 25–24 Syracuse victory. When lines were tracked for this matchup, we took Syracuse at +1.5 against a 49.5 total. With the model forecasting Syracuse to edge out Clemson by a single point outright, the Orange cover that tracked spread by 2.5 points.
The model’s estimate is built from 41 completed games across the current and discounted prior seasons, encompassing 20 home-side and 21 away-side contests. After adjusting for opponent strength and game dates, the database delivers an effective sample size of 7.30 weighted games on the thinner side of the matchup.
Before factoring in live market data, the model's independent calculation differed from the market consensus by 3.3 points. Blending the score 40% toward the DraftKings spread and total establishes our final 25–24 forecast, giving Syracuse +1.5 a medium rating from the desk.
How the model got here
- Projected score: 24 – 25 (away – home).
- Current DraftKings number used: spread +1.5, total 49.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
- Completed games on file: 20 for the home side and 21 for the away side, worth 7.30 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
- Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 3.3 points from the market.
- Model rating: medium.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
- Daunte Bacheyie — Anytime touchdown: Yes+245DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 3, 4:18 PM EST · result win
- Umari Hatcher — Anytime touchdown: Yes+115DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 3, 4:18 PM EST · result loss
This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- SYR
Calvin Russell III — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +370Calvin Russell III scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 21% in the DraftKings price (+370), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Calvin Russell III did not score a touchdown
- SYR
Daunte Bacheyie — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.78Recent average 0.78 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +245Daunte Bacheyie scored in 4 of 4 games this season and in 0 of 2 games last season (0.78 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 78% chance to score, against 29% in the DraftKings price (+245), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Daunte Bacheyie scored a touchdown
- SYR
Umari Hatcher — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1.17Recent average 0.67 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +115Umari Hatcher scored in 4 of 6 games this season (1.17 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 47% in the DraftKings price (+115), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Umari Hatcher did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Clemson Tigers
Record 1-0
Against the spread 1-0 (100%)
See all Clemson Tigers picks & results
Home team
Syracuse Orange
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all Syracuse Orange picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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