Clemson Tigers at California Golden Bears
Post-game analysis · Friday, September 25, 2026
Model projection — no official pick
CLEM 25 – CAL 23
This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.
The betting line
CLEM -1.5
Sportsbooks make Clemson Tigers the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 50.5
DraftKings · updated Wed, 8:06 PM EDT
Our projected score
Clemson Tigers25
California Golden Bears23
Final score
Clemson Tigers24
California Golden Bears10
ESPN — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 25, 2026
Preview: Clemson Tigers at California Golden Bears projection
Clemson Tigers visit California Golden Bears in NCAA Football on Friday, September 25, 2026. Our model projects CLEM 25 – CAL 23, a 2-point edge to Clemson Tigers. DraftKings currently has CAL +1.5 with a total of 50.5.
The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 11 completed home-side and 14 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.56 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.
This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.56 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; the DraftKings observation is 24 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- CAL
Cooper Perry — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +475Cooper Perry scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 17% in the DraftKings price (+475), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- CAL
Chase Hendricks — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +100Chase Hendricks scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 50% in the DraftKings price (+100), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Chase Hendricks did not score a touchdown
- CLEM
Tyler Brown — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.39Recent average 0.39 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +320Tyler Brown scored in 1 of 3 games this season and in 1 of 2 games last season (0.39 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 39% chance to score, against 24% in the DraftKings price (+320), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Tyler Brown did not score a touchdown
- CAL
Ashten Emory — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +360Ashten Emory scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 22% in the DraftKings price (+360), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Ashten Emory did not score a touchdown
- CLEM
Christian Bentancur — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 6 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +320Christian Bentancur scored in 1 of 3 games this season and in 1 of 3 games last season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 24% in the DraftKings price (+320), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Christian Bentancur did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Clemson Tigers
Record 1-0
Against the spread 1-0 (100%)
See all Clemson Tigers picks & results
Home team
California Golden Bears
Record 0-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all California Golden Bears picks & results
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- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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- WMU at AKRNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTWMU -13.5 · pick AKR +13.5
- OHIO at M-OHNCAA Football · Tue, 8:00 PM ESTM-OH -1.5 · pick OHIO +1.5
- SAC at CMUNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTCMU -15.5 · pick SAC +15.5
- BUFF at BALLNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTBUFF -3 · pick BUFF -3
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