Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers
Post-game analysis · Saturday, November 7, 2026
The pick
Take UAB Blazers -10.5
UAB Blazers is the favorite: your bet wins if they win by more than 10.5 points.
Pick locked in: Nov 1, 2026 · 12:08 PM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: low
The betting line
UAB -8.5
Sportsbooks make UAB Blazers the favorite by 8.5. Expected combined score: 47.5
DraftKings · updated Sat, 3:08 PM EST
Our projected score
Charlotte 49ers20
UAB Blazers32
Final score
Charlotte 49ers12
UAB Blazers23
Pick covered
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Matchup preview · Nov 7, 2026
Preview: Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers
The CoveredSports model projects a 32–20 victory for the UAB Blazers over the Charlotte 49ers on Saturday. With a projected 12-point margin of victory, the model leans toward UAB covering the tracked DraftKings spread of -10.5, which is the number we took when lines were recorded.
This projection is built from 40 completed games across the current and discounted prior seasons, adjusted for opponent strength. Before market anchoring, the independent calculation differed from the market by 1.8 points. Blending the estimate 40% toward the DraftKings spread of -10.5 and total of 51.5 produces the final projected total of 52 points.
The dataset reflects an effective sample of 7.15 weighted games, putting the available history on the thinner side. Because the projected margin clears the tracked line by only 1.5 points alongside a leaner sample, the model assigns a low rating to UAB -10.5.
How the model got here
- Projected score: 20 – 32 (away – home).
- Current DraftKings number used: spread -10.5, total 51.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
- Completed games on file: 20 for the home side and 20 for the away side, worth 7.15 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
- Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 1.8 points from the market.
- Model rating: low — 7.15 weighted games of history on both sides; score anchored 40% to the DraftKings number (-10.5 / 51.5); low: 1.1 points of retained edge. No side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
- Derrick Eley — Anytime touchdown: Yes+225DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Nov 7, 3:18 PM EST · result loss
This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- CLT
Derrick Eley — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.62Recent average 0.5 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +225Derrick Eley scored in 4 of 8 games this season and in 1 of 2 games last season (0.62 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 31% in the DraftKings price (+225), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Derrick Eley did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Charlotte 49ers
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all Charlotte 49ers picks & results
Home team
UAB Blazers
Record 1-0
Against the spread 1-0 (100%)
See all UAB Blazers picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
Upcoming College Football games
- KENT at BGSUNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTBGSU -5.5 · pick BGSU -5.5
- WMU at AKRNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTWMU -13.5 · pick AKR +13.5
- OHIO at M-OHNCAA Football · Tue, 8:00 PM ESTM-OH -1.5 · pick OHIO +1.5
- SAC at CMUNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTCMU -15.5 · pick SAC +15.5
- BUFF at BALLNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTBUFF -3 · pick BUFF -3
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