BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams
Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 19, 2026
Model projection — no official pick
BYU 35 – CSU 18
This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.
The betting line
BYU -17.5
Sportsbooks make BYU Cougars the favorite by 17.5. Expected combined score: 54.5
DraftKings · updated Sat, 7:07 PM EDT
Our projected score
BYU Cougars35
Colorado State Rams18
Final score
BYU Cougars41
Colorado State Rams23
CBS — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 19, 2026
Preview: BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams projection
BYU Cougars visit Colorado State Rams in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Our model projects BYU 35 – CSU 18, a 17-point edge to BYU Cougars. DraftKings currently has CSU +17.5 with a total of 52.5.
The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 14 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.75 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of +17.5 / 52.5, which sat 18.365 points from what the completed scores alone implied.
This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.75 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (17.5 / 52.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- CSU
Jackson Harper — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +235Jackson Harper scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 30% in the DraftKings price (+235), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jackson Harper did not score a touchdown
- BYU
Devaughn Eka — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +230Devaughn Eka scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 30% in the DraftKings price (+230), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Devaughn Eka did not score a touchdown
- BYU
Reggie Frischknecht — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +475Reggie Frischknecht scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 17% in the DraftKings price (+475), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
- CSU
Terrence Smith Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +320Terrence Smith Jr. scored in 1 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 24% in the DraftKings price (+320), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Terrence Smith Jr. did not score a touchdown
- CSU
RJ Vick — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +275RJ Vick scored in 1 of 2 games this season (1.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 27% in the DraftKings price (+275), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: RJ Vick scored a touchdown
- BYU
Jojo Phillips — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +225Jojo Phillips scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 31% in the DraftKings price (+225), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jojo Phillips did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
BYU Cougars
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-1 (0%)
See all BYU Cougars picks & results
Home team
Colorado State Rams
Record 0-1
Against the spread 0-0
See all Colorado State Rams picks & results
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