Post-game analysisNCAA FootballSaturday, September 19, 2026Final

BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams

Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 19, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

BYU 35 – CSU 18

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

BYU -17.5

Sportsbooks make BYU Cougars the favorite by 17.5. Expected combined score: 54.5

DraftKings · updated Sat, 7:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

BYU Cougars logo BYU Cougars35

Colorado State Rams logo Colorado State Rams18

Final score

BYU Cougars logo BYU Cougars41

Colorado State Rams logo Colorado State Rams23

CBS — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 19, 2026

Preview: BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams projection

BYU Cougars visit Colorado State Rams in NCAA Football on Saturday, September 19, 2026. Our model projects BYU 35 – CSU 18, a 17-point edge to BYU Cougars. DraftKings currently has CSU +17.5 with a total of 52.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 14 completed away-side games are on file, worth 0.75 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. Because that history is graded severe, the projected score is blended 95% toward the DraftKings number of +17.5 / 52.5, which sat 18.365 points from what the completed scores alone implied.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: only 0.75 weighted games of history for the thinner side; team form is not measurable yet; score anchored 95% to the DraftKings number (17.5 / 52.5); unrated: the history behind this projection is insufficient, so the score is a market-anchored projection rather than a recommendation.

Full-game total

DraftKings last quoted 54.5 — Over -110 / Under -110.

Medium

Our projected combined score is 59 · Over win probability 59.7%.

This is a model projection for context, not a recommendation. Only a high-rated total becomes a tracked pick.

No full-game total recommendation was published on this game. the total is 124 minutes old, past the staleness limit.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Jackson Harper — Anytime touchdown: Yes
CSU
We project 1Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +235
Jackson Harper scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 30% in the DraftKings price (+235), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jackson Harper did not score a touchdown
Devaughn Eka — Anytime touchdown: Yes
BYU
We project 1Recent average 1 over 1 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +230
Devaughn Eka scored in 1 of 1 game this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 30% in the DraftKings price (+230), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Devaughn Eka did not score a touchdown
Reggie Frischknecht — Anytime touchdown: Yes
BYU
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +475
Reggie Frischknecht scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 17% in the DraftKings price (+475), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Terrence Smith Jr. — Anytime touchdown: Yes
CSU
We project 1Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +320
Terrence Smith Jr. scored in 1 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 24% in the DraftKings price (+320), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Terrence Smith Jr. did not score a touchdown
RJ Vick — Anytime touchdown: Yes
CSU
We project 1.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +275
RJ Vick scored in 1 of 2 games this season (1.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 27% in the DraftKings price (+275), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: RJ Vick scored a touchdown
Jojo Phillips — Anytime touchdown: Yes
BYU
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +225
Jojo Phillips scored in 1 of 2 games this season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 31% in the DraftKings price (+225), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Jojo Phillips did not score a touchdown