Post-game analysisNCAA FootballFriday, September 25, 2026Final

Army Black Knights at Temple Owls

Post-game analysis · Friday, September 25, 2026

Model projection — no official pick

ARMY 24 – TEM 29

This is a model projection only. No side was published for this game and nothing here is counted in our graded record.

The betting line

ARMY -3

Sportsbooks make Army Black Knights the favorite by 3. Expected combined score: 47.5

DraftKings · updated Wed, 8:06 PM EDT

Our projected score

Army Black Knights logo Army Black Knights24

Temple Owls logo Temple Owls29

Final score

Army Black Knights logo Army Black Knights21

Temple Owls logo Temple Owls17

ESPN — Local availability can differ.

Matchup preview · Sep 25, 2026

Preview: Army Black Knights at Temple Owls projection

Army Black Knights visit Temple Owls in NCAA Football on Friday, September 25, 2026. Our model projects ARMY 24 – TEM 29, a 5-point edge to Temple Owls. DraftKings currently has TEM +3 with a total of 47.5.

The only inputs are final scores and schedule dates from the current and prior season, opponent-adjusted, plus the live DraftKings spread and total. 13 completed home-side and 14 completed away-side games are on file, worth 1.47 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay and a discount on prior-season results. With no usable DraftKings number on file, the projection rests entirely on those completed scores.

This is a model projection, not an official tracked recommendation. The model rates it unrated, so no side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select. Reasons on file: 1.47 weighted games is below the 3-game minimum for a rated projection; the DraftKings observation is 24 hours old; unrated: a projection without a live market number is not a recommendation.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Colin Chase — Anytime touchdown: Yes+240DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 21, 2:18 PM EDT · result win

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Parker Poloskey — Anytime touchdown: Yes
ARMY
We project 0.35Recent average 0.35 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +1500
Parker Poloskey scored in 0 of 1 game this season and in 1 of 2 games last season (0.35 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 35% chance to score, against 6% in the DraftKings price (+1500), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
Zach Mundell — Anytime touchdown: Yes
ARMY
We project 1.5Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -105
Zach Mundell scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 51% in the DraftKings price (-105), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Zach Mundell did not score a touchdown
Ajani Sheppard — Anytime touchdown: Yes
TEM
We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +180
Ajani Sheppard scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 36% in the DraftKings price (+180), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Ajani Sheppard did not score a touchdown
Ryder Kusch — Anytime touchdown: Yes
TEM
We project 0.23Recent average 0.23 over 4 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +800
Ryder Kusch scored in 0 of 1 game this season and in 1 of 3 games last season (0.23 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 23% chance to score, against 11% in the DraftKings price (+800), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Ryder Kusch did not score a touchdown
Brady Anderson — Anytime touchdown: Yes
ARMY
We project 0.25Recent average 0.25 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +500
Brady Anderson scored in 1 of 2 games this season and in 0 of 3 games last season (0.25 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 25% chance to score, against 17% in the DraftKings price (+500), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Brady Anderson did not score a touchdown
Colin Chase — Anytime touchdown: Yes
TEM
We project 0.5Recent average 0.5 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +240
Colin Chase scored in 1 of 2 games this season and in 2 of 4 games last season (0.5 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 50% chance to score, against 29% in the DraftKings price (+240), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Colin Chase scored a touchdown