Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores
Game preview · Saturday, November 14, 2026
The pick
Take Vanderbilt Commodores +19.5
Vanderbilt Commodores is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 19.5 points.
Pick locked in: Nov 8, 2026 · 1:09 AM EST — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: low
Current market
Current market check pending
The official pick stays tracked and graded at its locked number. A fresh read has not been computed yet.
- Official pick
- +19.5 · locked Nov 8, 2026 · 1:09 AM EST
- Latest DraftKings
- +19.5 · Nov 8, 2026 · 1:08 AM EST
Advisory only. The official pick and our published record do not change: the result is still graded against the line, price and side exactly as they were locked.
The betting line
ALA -19.5
Sportsbooks make Alabama Crimson Tide the favorite by 19.5. Expected combined score: 54.5
DraftKings · updated Sun, 1:08 AM EST
Our projected score
Alabama Crimson Tide37
Vanderbilt Commodores18
Kickoff
Sat, 12:45 PM EST
SEC Network — Local availability can differ.
Get an updated prediction
Live analysis — not an official tracked pick.
Our official recommendation above is locked to the line and price we published. If you see a different number at your sportsbook, enter that user-entered changed line here to see how our stored projection leans against it. Nothing you type is saved, sent, or added to our record.
Side
For example -3.5 or +6. Enter 0 for a pick’em. Range -100 to +100.
Whole number, -110 or +145 style. Price context only.
How the model got here
- Projected score: 37 – 18 (away – home).
- Current DraftKings number used: spread +19.5, total 54.5, and the projected score is blended 40% toward it.
- Completed games on file: 22 for the home side and 24 for the away side, worth 7.92 weighted games on the thinner side after recency decay.
- Before anchoring, the projection built from those completed scores sat 1.3 points from the market.
- Model rating: low — 7.92 weighted games of history on both sides; score anchored 40% to the DraftKings number (19.5 / 54.5); low: 0.8 points of retained edge. No side is published and it is not eligible for a tracked pick or a Covered Select.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season NCAA Football games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our College Football record
6-3
66.7% of graded picks covered
Road team
Alabama Crimson Tide
Record 1-0
Against the spread 1-0 (100%)
See all Alabama Crimson Tide picks & results
Home team
Vanderbilt Commodores
Record 1-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all Vanderbilt Commodores picks & results
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- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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- KENT at BGSUNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTBGSU -5.5 · pick BGSU -5.5
- WMU at AKRNCAA Football · Tue, 7:00 PM ESTWMU -13.5 · pick AKR +13.5
- OHIO at M-OHNCAA Football · Tue, 8:00 PM ESTM-OH -1.5 · pick OHIO +1.5
- SAC at CMUNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTCMU -15.5 · pick SAC +15.5
- BUFF at BALLNCAA Football · Wed, 7:30 PM ESTBUFF -3 · pick BUFF -3
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