

Phoenix Mercury at Portland Fire
Post-game analysis · Thursday, September 17, 2026
The pick
Take Portland Fire +1.5
Portland Fire is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.
Pick locked in: Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: medium
The betting line
PHX -3.5
Sportsbooks make Phoenix Mercury the favorite by 3.5. Expected combined score: 171.5
DraftKings · updated Thu, 9:07 PM EDT
Our projected score
Phoenix Mercury86
Portland Fire87
Final score
Phoenix Mercury94
Portland Fire91
Pick missed
Fox 12 Plus, Merc+, Arizona's Family 3TV — Local availability can differ.
How the model got here
Model projects 86–87, a 1.1 margin against a market number of -1.5 — a 2.6-point edge toward the home side. Based on 5 and 4 games of scoring form.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season WNBA games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.
Records & form
How our picks have graded in WNBA, plus how both teams have actually played.
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