New York Liberty at Toronto Tempo
Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 20, 2026
The pick
Take Toronto Tempo +13.5
Toronto Tempo is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 13.5 points.
Pick locked in: Sep 19, 2026 · 5:08 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: high
The betting line
NY -15.5
Sportsbooks make New York Liberty the favorite by 15.5. Expected combined score: 175.5
DraftKings · updated Sun, 2:07 PM EDT
Our projected score
New York Liberty89
Toronto Tempo86
Final score
New York Liberty106
Toronto Tempo69
Pick missed
WWOR-TV, Liberty Live, TSN — Local availability can differ.
Post-game analysis · Sep 20, 2026
Post-game: Liberty rout Tempo as Toronto misses +13.5 spread
On Sunday, September 20, 2026, the New York Liberty dismantled the Toronto Tempo 106-69, resulting in a clear loss for our tracked pick on Toronto +13.5. Facing a heavy double-digit line, the Tempo never found their footing and fell by 37 points, finishing nowhere near a cover.
Our model anticipated a competitive, single-possession contest, projecting an 89-86 New York victory and finding significant value on the home underdog. While the model correctly backed New York to win outright, it completely missed the game's competitive balance and vastly overstated Toronto’s ability to generate offense against elite competition.
New York surged past their projected total to put up 106 points, while Toronto managed just 69. Relying on baseline scoring form led the projection to underestimate the Liberty's scoring ceiling and ignore Toronto's defensive fragility in this matchup. It was an unmistakable misfire on a high-rated position.
How the model got here
Model projects 89–86, a -3.3 margin against a market number of -13.5 — a 10.23-point edge toward the home side. Based on 21 and 21 games of scoring form.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
Take Toronto Tempo +13.5
- DraftKings +13.5 · tracked Sat, 4:54 PM EDT
- Locked price -110
- Rating high
- Locked Sep 19, 5:08 PM EDT — before kickoff
- Result loss
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season WNBA games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.
Records & form
How our picks have graded in WNBA, plus how both teams have actually played.
Our WNBA record
1-6
14.3% of graded picks covered
Road team
New York Liberty
Record 0-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all New York Liberty picks & results
Home team
Toronto Tempo
Record 0-0
Against the spread 0-0
See all Toronto Tempo picks & results
Today's games
- CHE at SUNPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- LIV at CRYPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BOU at IPSPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- BRE at BHAPremier League · Sun, 9:00 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
- CIN at ATLNFL · Sun, 9:30 AM ESTCIN -3 · pick CIN -3
- AVL at MANPremier League · Sun, 11:30 AM ESTAwaiting DraftKings line · projection only
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