Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun
Post-game analysis · Sunday, September 20, 2026
The pick
Take Connecticut Sun +17.5
Connecticut Sun is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 17.5 points.
Pick locked in: Sep 19, 2026 · 5:08 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.
Scoring tier: high
The betting line
MIN -18.5
Sportsbooks make Minnesota Lynx the favorite by 18.5. Expected combined score: 167.5
DraftKings · updated Sun, 12:08 PM EDT
Our projected score
Minnesota Lynx89
Connecticut Sun84
Final score
Minnesota Lynx101
Connecticut Sun89
Pick covered
NBC Sports BO, Victory+ MIN, Fox 9+ — Local availability can differ.
Matchup preview · Sep 20, 2026
Preview: Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun
The Minnesota Lynx visit the Connecticut Sun this Sunday in WNBA action. When our model evaluated the matchup, the tracked spread sat at +17.5 for the Sun, alongside a game total of 167.5.
Our statistical projection, built on a 21-game sample of recent scoring form for each team, anticipates a much tighter contest than the market line indicates. The model forecasts an 89–84 victory for Minnesota. While that still gives the Lynx the outright edge, the projected five-point margin represents an 11.97-point differential compared to the +17.5 we took on the home underdog.
Because of that sizable gap between the projection and the market, the model assigns a high rating to the Connecticut Sun +17.5. Statistical simulations carry inherent variance and do not guarantee an outcome, but our quantitative baseline finds clear value in backing Connecticut with the points.
How the model got here
Model projects 89–84, a -5.5 margin against a market number of -17.5 — a 11.97-point edge toward the home side. Based on 21 and 21 games of scoring form.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
Take Connecticut Sun +17.5
- DraftKings +17.5 · tracked Sat, 4:54 PM EDT
- Locked price -115
- Rating high
- Locked Sep 19, 5:08 PM EDT — before kickoff
- Result win
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
No player prop angles for this matchup yet. Our stat lines need a few completed games of form for each player before we publish a number, so early-season WNBA games fill in as the season goes on. Check back closer to kickoff.
Records & form
How our picks have graded in WNBA, plus how both teams have actually played.
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