North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

• 

  Jaivon Solomon — Anytime touchdown: Yes

  DUKE
  We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +600

  Jaivon Solomon scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 14% in the DraftKings price (+600), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.

• 

  Kavon Simmons — Anytime touchdown: Yes

  DUKE
  We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +600

  Kavon Simmons scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 14% in the DraftKings price (+600), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.

  ✕MissedFinal: Kavon Simmons did not score a touchdown

• 

  Jared Richardson — Anytime touchdown: Yes

  DUKE
  We project 0.67Recent average 0.67 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +475

  Jared Richardson scored in 2 of 3 games this season (0.67 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 67% chance to score, against 17% in the DraftKings price (+475), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.

  ✕MissedFinal: Jared Richardson did not score a touchdown

• 

  Jelani Thurman — Anytime touchdown: Yes

  UNC
  We project 0.8Recent average 0.6 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +135

  Jelani Thurman scored in 3 of 5 games this season (0.8 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 60% chance to score, against 43% in the DraftKings price (+135), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.

  ✕MissedFinal: Jelani Thurman did not score a touchdown

• 

  Shamar Easter — Anytime touchdown: Yes

  UNC
  We project 0.39Recent average 0.39 over 6 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +425

  Shamar Easter scored in 2 of 4 games this season and in 0 of 2 games last season (0.39 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 39% chance to score, against 19% in the DraftKings price (+425), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.

  ✕MissedFinal: Shamar Easter did not score a touchdown

Records & form

How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.

Our College Football record

3-2

60% of graded picks covered

Road team

North Carolina Tar Heels

Record 1-0

Against the spread 1-0 (100%)

See all North Carolina Tar Heels picks & results

Home team

Duke Blue Devils

Record 0-1

Against the spread 0-1 (0%)

See all Duke Blue Devils picks & results

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