Arizona State Sun Devils at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Post-game analysis · Saturday, October 17, 2026
The betting line
TTU -14.5
Sportsbooks make Texas Tech Red Raiders the favorite by 14.5. Expected combined score: 48.5
DraftKings · updated Wed, 7:08 PM EDT
Our projected score
Arizona State Sun Devils—
Texas Tech Red Raiders—
Final score
Arizona State Sun Devils25
Texas Tech Red Raiders53
Fox — Local availability can differ.
Our recommendations on this game
The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.
Team
No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.
Players
No high-rated player recommendation on this matchup. We only show one when DraftKings posted the number and price before kickoff.
Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.
Player prop angles
Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.
- TTU
Malcolm Simmons — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1Recent average 1 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +550Malcolm Simmons scored in 2 of 2 games this season (1 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 95% chance to score, against 15% in the DraftKings price (+550), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: Malcolm Simmons did not score a touchdown
- ASU
Reed Harris — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 1.4Recent average 0.8 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +125Reed Harris scored in 4 of 5 games this season (1.4 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 80% chance to score, against 44% in the DraftKings price (+125), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
HitFinal: Reed Harris scored a touchdown
- ASU
AJ Ia — Anytime touchdown: Yes
We project 0.33Recent average 0.33 over 3 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings +900AJ Ia scored in 1 of 3 games this season (0.33 touchdowns per game after the matchup), and the matchup is roughly neutral. Our model gives him a 33% chance to score, against 10% in the DraftKings price (+900), so the play is Anytime touchdown: Yes.
MissedFinal: AJ Ia did not score a touchdown
Records & form
How our picks have graded in NCAA Football, plus how both teams have actually played.
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