Idaho State Bengals at Wyoming Cowboys

On Friday, November 6, 2026, the Wyoming Cowboys dominated the Idaho State Bengals 93–62. Our tracked recommendation backed Idaho State +19.5, resulting in a decisive loss as Wyoming covered the line by a comfortable 11.5-point margin beyond the spread.

Our model assigned a high rating to the underdog, forecasting an 81–71 Wyoming victory and identifying an 8.78-point edge toward the Bengals. That expectation broke down on both ends of the court. Wyoming easily surpassed our 81-point defensive projection by scoring 93, while Idaho State’s offense sputtered, managing just 62 points.

With limited early-season data available, our projection relied heavily on baseline league numbers and severely underestimated the matchup disparity. The model missed Wyoming's offensive ceiling entirely and gave Idaho State far too much credit to keep the contest competitive on the road.

The Wyoming Cowboys host the Idaho State Bengals on Friday night, with the market favoring the home side by a wide margin. When we logged the matchup, the tracked DraftKings spread sat at Idaho State +19.5, paired with an over/under total of 147.5.

Our statistical model projects an 81–71 victory for Wyoming. While that still gives the Cowboys a projected 10.7-point win, it is considerably narrower than what the betting line suggests. That differential creates an estimated 8.78-point edge toward the road side against the +19.5 number we took.

With limited in-season data available in the early going, the model leans on team baselines and league-wide metrics. While early-season projections naturally carry variance, the model assigns a high rating to Idaho State +19.5, projecting the Bengals to do enough to stay inside the wide spread.