Colgate Raiders at Drexel Dragons

On Saturday, November 7, 2026, Drexel held off Colgate 77–74. Backing Colgate at +1.5 did not pan out, going down as a loss against our tracked DraftKings number as the Raiders fell three points short.

Our statistical model anticipated a competitive, higher-scoring affair than the market expected, projecting a 77–76 finish against a 140.5 pre-game total. That pace read proved accurate, with both offenses executing well and keeping the margin within a single possession into the closing minutes.

Where the projection missed was in handing Colgate the slight edge on the road. Operating on a thin early-season sample, the model leaned on baseline estimates and assigned this play a low rating based on a razor-thin 0.74-point edge. Drexel made the decisive plays late to protect home court, securing the win and keeping Colgate just outside the tracked number.

Colgate travels to face Drexel on Saturday in an early-season non-conference matchup featuring a game total of 146.5. When we published our outlook, we took the Colgate Raiders at +1.5, backing the road side to keep things tight in what projects to be a possession-by-possession contest.

Our statistical model projects a final score of Colgate 77, Drexel 76. That equates to an outright victory for the Raiders by a 0.8-point margin. Measured against our tracked line of +1.5, the model identifies a 0.74-point edge toward Colgate covering the spread.

We assign a low rating to this selection. Because the sample size is still thin in the opening stretch of the season, the model's output leans primarily on baseline league data rather than settled team form. While the analytical edge sits with the road underdog, early-season matchups naturally carry meaningful variance.