Post-game analysisMLBSaturday, September 19, 2026Final

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

Post-game analysis · Saturday, September 19, 2026

The pick

Take St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

St. Louis Cardinals is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 19, 2026 · 5:08 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: high

The betting line

WSH -1.5

Sportsbooks make Washington Nationals the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 8.5

DraftKings · updated Sat, 7:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

Washington Nationals logo Washington Nationals5

St. Louis Cardinals logo St. Louis Cardinals6

Final score

Washington Nationals logo Washington Nationals8

St. Louis Cardinals logo St. Louis Cardinals5

Pick missed

MLB.TV, Cardinals.TV, Nationals.TV — Local availability can differ.

How the model got here

Model projects 5–6, a 0.1 margin against a market number of -1.5 — a 1.59-point edge toward the home side. Based on 30 and 28 games of scoring form.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

Take St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

DraftKings +1.5 · tracked Sat, 4:55 PM EDT
Locked price -189
Rating high
Locked Sep 19, 5:08 PM EDT — before kickoff
Result loss

Players

Thomas Saggese over 0.5 hits-202DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 19, 5:19 PM EDT · result loss
Ivan Herrera over 0.5 hits-238DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 19, 5:19 PM EDT · result win
Thomas Saggese over 0.5 runs scored+136DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 19, 5:19 PM EDT · result loss
Dylan Crews over 0.5 hits-212DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 19, 5:19 PM EDT · result win
Daylen Lile over 0.5 hits-253DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 19, 5:19 PM EDT · result win

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Keibert Ruiz over 0.5 hits
WSH · C
We project 1.4Recent average 1.4 over 5 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -172
Keibert Ruiz has averaged 1.4 hits over 5 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-172), and our model projects 1.4 — 0.9 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Keibert Ruiz 1 hits
Thomas Saggese over 0.5 hits
STL · LF
We project 1.7Recent average 1.7 over 8 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -202
Thomas Saggese has averaged 1.7 hits over 8 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-202), and our model projects 1.7 — 1.2 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Thomas Saggese 0 hits
Ivan Herrera over 0.5 hits
STL · DH
We project 1.5Recent average 1.5 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -238
Ivan Herrera has averaged 1.5 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-238), and our model projects 1.5 — 1 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Ivan Herrera 3 hits
Thomas Saggese over 0.5 runs scored
STL · LF
We project 1.4Recent average 1.4 over 8 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +136
Thomas Saggese has averaged 1.4 runs scored over 8 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (+136), and our model projects 1.4 — 0.9 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Thomas Saggese 0 runs scored
Dylan Crews over 0.5 hits
WSH · RF
We project 1.1Recent average 1.1 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -212
Dylan Crews has averaged 1.1 hits over 9 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-212), and our model projects 1.1 — 0.6 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Dylan Crews 1 hits
Daylen Lile over 0.5 hits
WSH · LF
We project 1.1Recent average 1.1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -253
Daylen Lile has averaged 1.1 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-253), and our model projects 1.1 — 0.6 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Daylen Lile 1 hits