Post-game analysisMLBWednesday, September 16, 2026Final

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

Post-game analysis · Wednesday, September 16, 2026

The pick

Take Los Angeles Angels +1.5

Los Angeles Angels is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 15, 2026 · 8:59 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: high

The betting line

SEA -1.5

Sportsbooks make Seattle Mariners the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 8

DraftKings · updated Wed, 9:08 PM EDT

Our projected score

Seattle Mariners logo Seattle Mariners4

Los Angeles Angels logo Los Angeles Angels5

Final score

Seattle Mariners logo Seattle Mariners7

Los Angeles Angels logo Los Angeles Angels2

Pick missed

MLB.TV, Mariners.TV, Angels.TV — Local availability can differ.

How the model got here

Model projects 4–5, a 0.7 margin against a market number of -1.5 — a 2.25-point edge toward the home side. Based on 25 and 26 games of scoring form.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

Take Los Angeles Angels +1.5

DraftKings +1.5 · tracked Tue, 6:07 PM EDT
Locked price -155
Rating high
Locked Sep 15, 8:59 PM EDT — before kickoff
Result loss

Players

Cal Raleigh over 0.5 hits-189DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 3:08 PM EDT · result win
Wade Meckler over 0.5 hits-205DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 3:08 PM EDT · result loss
Mike Trout over 0.5 hits-203DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 3:08 PM EDT · result loss
J.P. Crawford over 0.5 hits-217DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 3:08 PM EDT · result win
Randy Arozarena over 0.5 hits-228DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 3:08 PM EDT · result win
Zach Neto over 0.5 hits-200DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 16, 3:08 PM EDT · result win

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Cal Raleigh over 0.5 hits
SEA · C
We project 1.3Recent average 1.3 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -189
Cal Raleigh has averaged 1.3 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-189), and our model projects 1.3 — 0.8 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Cal Raleigh 2 hits
Wade Meckler over 0.5 hits
LAA · LF
We project 1.3Recent average 1.3 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -205
Wade Meckler has averaged 1.3 hits over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-205), and our model projects 1.3 — 0.8 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Wade Meckler 0 hits
Mike Trout over 0.5 hits
LAA · CF
We project 1.2Recent average 1.2 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -203
Mike Trout has averaged 1.2 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-203), and our model projects 1.2 — 0.7 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Mike Trout 0 hits
J.P. Crawford over 0.5 hits
SEA · SS
We project 1.1Recent average 1.1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -217
J.P. Crawford has averaged 1.1 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-217), and our model projects 1.1 — 0.6 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: J.P. Crawford 1 hits
Randy Arozarena over 0.5 hits
SEA · LF
We project 1.1Recent average 1.1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -228
Randy Arozarena has averaged 1.1 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-228), and our model projects 1.1 — 0.6 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Randy Arozarena 1 hits
Zach Neto over 0.5 hits
LAA · SS
We project 1.1Recent average 1.1 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -200
Zach Neto has averaged 1.1 hits over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-200), and our model projects 1.1 — 0.6 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Zach Neto 2 hits