Post-game analysisMLBTuesday, September 15, 2026Final

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals

Post-game analysis · Tuesday, September 15, 2026

The pick

Take San Francisco Giants +1.5

San Francisco Giants is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 14, 2026 · 8:08 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: high

The betting line

STL -1.5

Sportsbooks make St. Louis Cardinals the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 8

DraftKings · updated Tue, 7:07 PM EDT

Our projected score

San Francisco Giants logo San Francisco Giants6

St. Louis Cardinals logo St. Louis Cardinals5

Final score

San Francisco Giants logo San Francisco Giants10

St. Louis Cardinals logo St. Louis Cardinals3

Pick covered

MLB.TV, NBC Sports BA, Cardinals.TV — Local availability can differ.

How the model got here

Model projects 6–5, a 0.2 margin against a market number of 1.5 — a 1.25-point edge toward the road side. Based on 26 and 26 games of scoring form.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

Take San Francisco Giants +1.5

DraftKings +1.5 · tracked Mon, 8:07 PM EDT
Locked price -157
Rating high
Locked Sep 14, 8:08 PM EDT — before kickoff
Result win

Players

Joshua Baez over 0.5 hits-152DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 15, 3:07 AM EDT · result pending
Ivan Herrera over 0.5 hits-254DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 15, 3:07 AM EDT · result loss
Ivan Herrera over 0.5 RBIs+199DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 15, 3:07 AM EDT · result win
Bryce Eldridge over 0.5 hits-198DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 15, 3:07 AM EDT · result win
Jonah Cox over 0.5 hits-218DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 15, 3:07 AM EDT · result win
Turner Hill over 0.5 hits-191DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 15, 3:07 AM EDT · result win

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Joshua Baez over 0.5 hits
STL · LF
We project 1.3Recent average 1.3 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -152
Joshua Baez has averaged 1.3 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-152), and our model projects 1.3 — 0.8 above the number, so the play is the over.
Ivan Herrera over 0.5 hits
STL · DH
We project 1.7Recent average 1.7 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -254
Ivan Herrera has averaged 1.7 hits over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-254), and our model projects 1.7 — 1.2 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Ivan Herrera 0 hits
Ivan Herrera over 0.5 RBIs
STL · DH
We project 1.5Recent average 1.5 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +199
Ivan Herrera has averaged 1.5 RBIs over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (+199), and our model projects 1.5 — 1 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Ivan Herrera 1 RBIs
Bryce Eldridge over 0.5 hits
SF · DH
We project 1.2Recent average 1.2 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -198
Bryce Eldridge has averaged 1.2 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-198), and our model projects 1.2 — 0.7 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Bryce Eldridge 2 hits
Jonah Cox over 0.5 hits
SF · CF
We project 1Recent average 1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -218
Jonah Cox has averaged 1 hits over 10 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-218), and our model projects 1 — 0.5 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Jonah Cox 1 hits
Turner Hill over 0.5 hits
SF · LF
We project 1Recent average 1 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -191
Turner Hill has averaged 1 hits over 9 recent games, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-191), and our model projects 1 — 0.5 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Turner Hill 2 hits