Post-game analysisMLBFriday, September 18, 2026Final

Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles

Post-game analysis · Friday, September 18, 2026

The pick

Take Baltimore Orioles +1.5

Baltimore Orioles is the underdog: your bet wins if they win outright or lose by fewer than 1.5 points.

Pick locked in: Sep 17, 2026 · 11:08 PM EDT — sportsbook spreads can move after that time, so check the number your book is offering now.

Scoring tier: medium

The betting line

MIL -1.5

Sportsbooks make Milwaukee Brewers the favorite by 1.5. Expected combined score: 8.5

DraftKings · updated Fri, 6:08 PM EDT

Our projected score

Milwaukee Brewers logo Milwaukee Brewers5

Baltimore Orioles logo Baltimore Orioles4

Final score

Milwaukee Brewers logo Milwaukee Brewers6

Baltimore Orioles logo Baltimore Orioles5

Pick covered

MLB.TV, Brewers.TV, MASN — Local availability can differ.

How the model got here

Model projects 5–4, a -0.9 margin against a market number of -1.5 — a 0.56-point edge toward the home side. Based on 29 and 28 games of scoring form.

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Team

No high-rated team recommendation on this matchup. We only show one here when DraftKings posted the number and price and we locked a high-rated recommendation before kickoff.

Players

Cooper Pratt over 0.5 RBIs+196DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 18, 4:08 AM EDT · result loss
William Contreras over 0.5 hits-255DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 18, 4:08 AM EDT · result win
Coby Mayo over 0.5 hits-152DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 18, 4:08 AM EDT · result win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand over 0.5 hits-200DraftKings line 0.5 · rating high · line recorded Sep 18, 4:08 AM EDT · result loss

This game has started, so these are historical recommendations kept exactly as they were recorded. They can no longer be used on a parlay card.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

Dustin May under 5.5 strikeouts
MIL · SP
We project 4.5Recent average 4.5 over 2 gamesConfidence mediumLine DraftKings -130
Dustin May has averaged 4.5 strikeouts over 2 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 5.5 (-130), and our model projects 4.5 — 1 below the number, so the play is the under.
HitFinal: Dustin May 4 strikeouts
Cooper Pratt over 0.5 RBIs
MIL · SS
We project 1.4Recent average 1.4 over 8 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +196
Cooper Pratt has averaged 1.4 RBIs over 8 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (+196), and our model projects 1.4 — 0.9 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Cooper Pratt 0 RBIs
William Contreras over 0.5 hits
MIL · C
We project 1.2Recent average 1.2 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -255
William Contreras has averaged 1.2 hits over 9 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-255), and our model projects 1.2 — 0.7 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: William Contreras 1 hits
Coby Mayo over 0.5 hits
BAL · 3B
We project 1.1Recent average 1.1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -152
Coby Mayo has averaged 1.1 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-152), and our model projects 1.1 — 0.6 above the number, so the play is the over.
HitFinal: Coby Mayo 3 hits
Christian Encarnacion-Strand over 0.5 hits
BAL · 3B
We project 0.9Recent average 0.9 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -200
Christian Encarnacion-Strand has averaged 0.9 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (-200), and our model projects 0.9 — 0.4 above the number, so the play is the over.
MissedFinal: Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0 hits