Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates

Our recommendations on this game

The team recommendation, the full-game total and the player recommendations for this matchup, side by side. The full-game total is its own market, shown in its own panel above. Only high-rated recommendations taken at a locked DraftKings price are used on a parlay card, and a card never takes two legs from the same game.

Information only, not betting advice. See today's parlay cards · Play responsibly.

Player prop angles

Our model projects individual stat lines from each player's recent games and the matchup in front of them, then compares that projection to the live sportsbook number. Where a book has not posted a prop yet, the line shown is our own.

• 

  Nick Gonzales under 1.5 hits

  PIT · 3B
  We project 0.9Recent average 0.9 over 9 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -140

  Nick Gonzales has averaged 0.9 hits over 9 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 1.5 (-140), and our model projects 0.9 — 0.6 below the number, so the play is the under.

  ✓HitFinal: Nick Gonzales 0 hits

• 

  Bryan Reynolds over 0.5 hits

  PIT · LF
  We project 1.2Recent average 1.2 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings +230

  Bryan Reynolds has averaged 1.2 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 0.5 (+230), and our model projects 1.2 — 0.7 above the number, so the play is the over.

  ✓HitFinal: Bryan Reynolds 1 hits

• 

  Nick Loftin under 3.5 hits

  KC · 3B
  We project 1Recent average 1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -350

  Nick Loftin has averaged 1 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 3.5 (-350), and our model projects 1 — 2.5 below the number, so the play is the under.

  ✓HitFinal: Nick Loftin 1 hits

• 

  Bobby Witt Jr. under 2.5 hits

  KC · SS
  We project 1Recent average 1 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -160

  Bobby Witt Jr. has averaged 1 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (-160), and our model projects 1 — 1.5 below the number, so the play is the under.

  ✓HitFinal: Bobby Witt Jr. 1 hits

• 

  Bobby Witt Jr. under 1.5 runs scored

  KC · SS
  We project 0.7Recent average 0.7 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -425

  Bobby Witt Jr. has averaged 0.7 runs scored over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 1.5 (-425), and our model projects 0.7 — 0.8 below the number, so the play is the under.

  ✓HitFinal: Bobby Witt Jr. 1 runs scored

• 

  Oneil Cruz under 2.5 hits

  PIT · CF
  We project 1.4Recent average 1.4 over 10 gamesConfidence highLine DraftKings -320

  Oneil Cruz has averaged 1.4 hits over 10 games this season, and the matchup is roughly neutral. The DraftKings line is 2.5 (-320), and our model projects 1.4 — 1.1 below the number, so the play is the under.

  ✓HitFinal: Oneil Cruz 1 hits

Records & form

How our picks have graded in MLB, plus how both teams have actually played.

Our MLB record

74-48

60.7% of graded picks covered

Road team

Kansas City Royals

Record 1-6

Against the spread 1-4 (20%)

See all Kansas City Royals picks & results

Home team

Pittsburgh Pirates

Record 5-2

Against the spread 3-1 (75%)

See all Pittsburgh Pirates picks & results

Popular games from other leagues

Our strongest upcoming calls outside MLB.

• CIN at PITNFL · Sun, 1:00 PM EDTCIN -3.5 · pick PIT +2.5
• FLA at CARNHL · Tue, 5:00 PM EDTCAR -1.5 · pick FLA +1.5
• MTL at TORNHL · Tue, 7:00 PM EDTTOR -1.5 · pick MTL +1.5
• NYR at BOSNHL · Tue, 8:00 PM EDTBOS -1.5 · pick NYR +1.5